More N turn,or wobble?

Jersey storm · #1 Postby **Jersey storm** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:38 am

all those prayers from S.Fla.must be having an effect on Frances seems to be turning!

#2 Postby **charleston_hugo_veteran** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:38 am

WOBBLE WOBBLE WOBBLE

#3 Postby **Canelaw99** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:40 am

Remember the old weeble wobble slogan??? Well...

Frances wobbles but she won't fall down!

rbaker · #4 Postby **rbaker** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:42 am

not so sure about wobble, if you take the 1245z loop to current 1615z loop its more like a 305 degree course than earlier 290. That is almost 4 hrs. But for consideration of wobbles I'll give it another 2 hrs before I call a definate nw course, which is taking s fla more and more out of the picture, if that happens.

calidoug · #5 Postby **calidoug** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:43 am

You need to worry about a turn BACK to more west, as Frances gets closer to the ridge axis.

That's actually what the GS and ETA are showing.

No one in SFL should be letting their guard down until Frances is N of their latitude.

rbaker · #6 Postby **rbaker** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:46 am

once it gets past 25.5 or 26 n mia and fll can breath a little easier, unless it moves back west sharply. Haven't seen that in last 4 hrs.

Jersey storm · #7 Postby **Jersey storm** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:46 am

S.Fla.should prepare,but this things not set in stone yet. 8-)

ilmc172pilot · #8 Postby **ilmc172pilot** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 11:50 am

Like Ted Kennedy walking......wobble wobble

The Big Dog · #9 Postby **The Big Dog** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:15 pm

calidoug wrote:You need to worry about a turn BACK to more west, as Frances gets closer to the ridge axis.

That's actually what the GS and ETA are showing.

No one in SFL should be letting their guard down until Frances is N of their latitude.

At least a full degree north! given the size of this storm. I always told my mom at 26.9N that 27 was the magic number for W or NW bound storm. However, if I recall, that was during Erin. I told her 28/80 might be the difference between house and no house. Every inch counts.

9:48 · #10 Postby **9:48** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:29 pm

1430Z center fix: 23.37N 73.73W
1630Z CF: 23.62N 74.1N
+.25N +.37W
heading: 295 exactly (per trigonometry...ah 8th grade...finally coming up strong)

The Big Dog · #11 Postby **The Big Dog** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:41 pm

9:48 wrote:heading: 295 exactly (per trigonometry...ah 8th grade...finally coming up strong)

You took trig in 8th grade?? What are you, some kind of pridigy?

#12 Postby **seahawkjd** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:43 pm

Must resist..... teachers urge... to correct spelling.... on ironic unintentional pun.......

The Big Dog · #13 Postby **The Big Dog** » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:46 pm

Doh!!... prodigy. I knew that. I really did.

More N turn,or wobble?

More N turn,or wobble?

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