Why Does It Seem Frances Is Weakening??

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Hurricane Cheese
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Why Does It Seem Frances Is Weakening??

#1 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:13 pm

Is she going through another eyewall replacement??
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#2 Postby Canelaw99 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:14 pm

That's what Brian Norcross, our local CBS met, said.
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#3 Postby GalvestonDuck » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:14 pm

Weaken, baby, weaken!
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#4 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:15 pm

So Norcross said she was just going through another cycle??

That would make sense since there's no reason the pressure should be going up this high other than that
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#5 Postby skysummit » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:15 pm

It looks like she's doing what she did yesterday around this time and every preceiding day before.
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#6 Postby Canelaw99 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:19 pm

Yes, that's what he said he thought it was.
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#7 Postby clueless newbie » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:20 pm

To my eye she does not seem to be weakening. Yes, she was ragged today morning, and still wobbling badly, but she has impressive (and wide!) convection.
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#8 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:21 pm

I can't believe the pressure is up what, 13 mb today...

I do believe it's just an eyewall phase though...as all the evidence points to that.

The only question I have is...


How strong will she get when she comes back in intensity, probably overnight tonight?
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#9 Postby The Big Dog » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:24 pm

Hurricane Cheese wrote:I can't believe the pressure is up what, 13 mb today...

I do believe it's just an eyewall phase though...as all the evidence points to that.

The latest ERPs haven't raised the pressure 13 mb. I'll take any good sign right now.
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#10 Postby KBBOCA » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:37 pm

Yes... let's hope she does weaken, as opposed to getting stronger once eyewall replacement is done! We need a miracle here folks... Keep praying!
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#11 Postby TexasStooge » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:43 pm

The more it weakens, the lesser chances of Florida getting totally destroyed. Lets' hope it weakens some more.
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#12 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Thu Sep 02, 2004 12:56 pm

Gonna be interesting to see what they say at 5 pm.....


Conditions are perfect for further intensification tonight and tomorrow, so maybe a miracle is in store.

Certainly people should be prepared for a Cat 4 though....can't let the guard down down there at all!
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#13 Postby rbaker » Thu Sep 02, 2004 2:02 pm

if you have been following the storm for last few days before it got north of pr and the islands, we have seen waning and strenghting of the system, overnight seems to be when she gets together better.
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