The slowdown

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charleston_hugo_veteran
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The slowdown

#1 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:11 pm

It is moving @ 9 mph and expected to slow down even more...what effect will this have on the track?
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#2 Postby btsgmdad » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:12 pm

Before hurricane_lover says its going to NC, it means its gradually turning back more to the west.
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#3 Postby PurdueWx80 » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:13 pm

In the past few frames of the high-res images, she is nearly stationary...the overall convective symmetry does appear to be improving though.
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#4 Postby Air Force Met » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:13 pm

That means its bumping up against the ridge to its north.
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#5 Postby charleston_hugo_veteran » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:14 pm

was this major slowdown expected?
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#6 Postby simplykristi » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:14 pm

She getting ready to strengthen again??

Krsit
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#7 Postby btsgmdad » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:15 pm

If it gives up going North and heads more West then strengthening is likely.
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#8 Postby skysummit » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:26 pm

Air Force Met wrote:That means its bumping up against the ridge to its north.

If it's bumping the ridge to the north, then it shouldn't go any further north right?

If that's true, then why the NHC is saying we should expect her to slow down then turn more toward the NW instead of what we think....west ?
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#9 Postby jlauderdal » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:41 pm

skysummit wrote:
Air Force Met wrote:That means its bumping up against the ridge to its north.

If it's bumping the ridge to the north, then it shouldn't go any further north right?

If that's true, then why the NHC is saying we should expect her to slow down then turn more toward the NW instead of what we think....west ?


because avial believes the gfs model..the same model that had the sytem busting through a ridge.
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#10 Postby Air Force Met » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:45 pm

skysummit wrote:
Air Force Met wrote:That means its bumping up against the ridge to its north.

If it's bumping the ridge to the north, then it shouldn't go any further north right?

If that's true, then why the NHC is saying we should expect her to slow down then turn more toward the NW instead of what we think....west ?


Because right now you have the ridge to the east steering it north and the ridge north of it saying no. ONce everything settles...the net vector with a north steering flow (from east) and a west steering flow (from ridge to north) is NW.

Vector analysis. IF the ridge to the east weakens...expect more of a WNW motion.
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#11 Postby Bane » Thu Sep 02, 2004 7:47 pm

The ridge to the north is ridging down from the Northeastern corner of the nation, isn't it?
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