Eye tightening dramatically!

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dixiebreeze
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Eye tightening dramatically!

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:05 pm

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dennis1x1

#2 Postby dennis1x1 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:06 pm

filling in...not tightening....
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#3 Postby deguy50 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:07 pm

:eek:
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caneman

#4 Postby caneman » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:07 pm

dennis1x1 wrote:filling in...not tightening....


Steady and and not weakening.
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rockyman
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#5 Postby rockyman » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:09 pm

I think it's tightening...not filling...the organization is much better than earlier today...the center is actually in the "center" and not on the edge of the convection.
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dennis1x1

#6 Postby dennis1x1 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:09 pm

agreed...steady.....for the last 24 hours or so....
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rockyman
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#7 Postby rockyman » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:10 pm

NHC director says the features are more "impressive"...not gotten stronger but better organized.
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SunnyThoughts
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#8 Postby SunnyThoughts » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:10 pm

Ed Rappaport was just on FoxNews... he says the storm is definitely better organized... but the recon data and reports from the bahamas close to the center of circulation are reporting the pressure hasn't dropped as of yet.
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#9 Postby HurricaneGirl » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:11 pm

Frances is now stationary as of 2:00 advisory :roll:
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calidoug
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#10 Postby calidoug » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:11 pm

Comparing radar to satellite makes it clear that the storm is better organized. Talk of the eye "filling" is nonsense.
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#11 Postby ColinD » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:12 pm

HurricaneGirl wrote:Frances is now stationary as of 2:00 advisory :roll:


We're very luck it didn't stall here with the organization and strength it had 2 days ago.
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dennis1x1

#12 Postby dennis1x1 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:13 pm

we will know in about 2 hours....i predict the "eye" showing on IR will be gone by then........
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#13 Postby chris_fit » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:15 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Look at that convection wrap around that center... almost complete
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#14 Postby lookout » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:15 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:Ed Rappaport was just on FoxNews... he says the storm is definitely better organized... but the recon data and reports from the bahamas close to the center of circulation are reporting the pressure hasn't dropped as of yet.


Looking at the latest radar imagery definately shows an organizing center. The convection has increased and tightened slightly along the large center of circulation but if you notice closely, there appears there could be a much tighter inner eye forming around the exact center. (around "Palm" in west Palm beach on radar). there is a dry slot on the southeastern side so this might slow down some strengthening but probably would not keep it from strengthening some. considering her motion and improved appearance i would think she has a real chance of getting back to the 120-125mph range before landfall. if she had a tighter eye like charley she would have a much higher chance of getting much stronger before landfall but her size and the absolutely incredible hurricane winds extending out 105 miles will limit her chances unless she sits out there for a good 24 hours.
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