Eye tightening dramatically!

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

Eye tightening dramatically!

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:05 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
0 likes   
Top
dennis1x1

#2 Postby dennis1x1 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:06 pm

filling in...not tightening....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deguy50
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 117
Joined: Tue Jul 22, 2003 12:59 pm
Location: bear delaware

#3 Postby deguy50 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:07 pm

:eek:
0 likes   
Top
caneman

#4 Postby caneman » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:07 pm

dennis1x1 wrote:filling in...not tightening....


Steady and and not weakening.
0 likes   
Top
rockyman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1967
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2003 12:24 pm
Location: Dauphin Island, AL

#5 Postby rockyman » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:09 pm

I think it's tightening...not filling...the organization is much better than earlier today...the center is actually in the "center" and not on the edge of the convection.
0 likes   
Top
dennis1x1

#6 Postby dennis1x1 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:09 pm

agreed...steady.....for the last 24 hours or so....
0 likes   
Top
rockyman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1967
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2003 12:24 pm
Location: Dauphin Island, AL

#7 Postby rockyman » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:10 pm

NHC director says the features are more "impressive"...not gotten stronger but better organized.
0 likes   
Top
SunnyThoughts
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2263
Joined: Wed Jul 09, 2003 12:42 pm
Location: Pensacola, Florida

#8 Postby SunnyThoughts » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:10 pm

Ed Rappaport was just on FoxNews... he says the storm is definitely better organized... but the recon data and reports from the bahamas close to the center of circulation are reporting the pressure hasn't dropped as of yet.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HurricaneGirl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5839
Age: 60
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 9:45 am
Location: Clare, Michigan
Contact:
Contact HurricaneGirl

#9 Postby HurricaneGirl » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:11 pm

Frances is now stationary as of 2:00 advisory :roll:
0 likes   
Top
calidoug
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 480
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:13 pm

#10 Postby calidoug » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:11 pm

Comparing radar to satellite makes it clear that the storm is better organized. Talk of the eye "filling" is nonsense.
0 likes   
Top
ColinD
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 366
Joined: Tue Sep 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: Miami

#11 Postby ColinD » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:12 pm

HurricaneGirl wrote:Frances is now stationary as of 2:00 advisory :roll:


We're very luck it didn't stall here with the organization and strength it had 2 days ago.
0 likes   
Top
dennis1x1

#12 Postby dennis1x1 » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:13 pm

we will know in about 2 hours....i predict the "eye" showing on IR will be gone by then........
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
chris_fit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3261
Age: 42
Joined: Wed Sep 10, 2003 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa Bay Area, FL

#13 Postby chris_fit » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:15 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Look at that convection wrap around that center... almost complete
0 likes   
Top
lookout
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 200
Joined: Mon May 26, 2003 8:59 am

#14 Postby lookout » Sat Sep 04, 2004 1:15 pm

SunnyThoughts wrote:Ed Rappaport was just on FoxNews... he says the storm is definitely better organized... but the recon data and reports from the bahamas close to the center of circulation are reporting the pressure hasn't dropped as of yet.


Looking at the latest radar imagery definately shows an organizing center. The convection has increased and tightened slightly along the large center of circulation but if you notice closely, there appears there could be a much tighter inner eye forming around the exact center. (around "Palm" in west Palm beach on radar). there is a dry slot on the southeastern side so this might slow down some strengthening but probably would not keep it from strengthening some. considering her motion and improved appearance i would think she has a real chance of getting back to the 120-125mph range before landfall. if she had a tighter eye like charley she would have a much higher chance of getting much stronger before landfall but her size and the absolutely incredible hurricane winds extending out 105 miles will limit her chances unless she sits out there for a good 24 hours.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: StormWeather, Teban54 and 360 guests