Ivan a hurricane at 5am

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

Ivan a hurricane at 5am

#1 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 2:23 am

NRL site now shows 65kts winds and 987mb pressure. You can also see the eye on satellite pic they have there.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
CaluWxBill
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 577
Joined: Sun Dec 21, 2003 8:31 pm
Location: Southwest PA
Contact:
Contact CaluWxBill

Re: Ivan a hurricane at 5am

#2 Postby CaluWxBill » Sun Sep 05, 2004 2:32 am

Thunder44 wrote:NRL site now shows 65kts winds and 987mb pressure. You can also see the eye on satellite pic they have there.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html


Well there is an eye, but I think there still is lopsided convection and I think you are seeing more of a weak spot in the eyewall than the eye itself, but it is definitely intensifying.
0 likes   
Top
dennis1x1

#3 Postby dennis1x1 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 2:44 am

well defined eye definitely formed in the last couple hours as storms wrapped around the northwest side.......

hurricane at 5am.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
CaluWxBill
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 577
Joined: Sun Dec 21, 2003 8:31 pm
Location: Southwest PA
Contact:
Contact CaluWxBill

#4 Postby CaluWxBill » Sun Sep 05, 2004 2:46 am

dennis1x1 wrote:well defined eye definitely formed in the last couple hours as storms wrapped around the northwest side.......

hurricane at 5am.


Well yeah I agree there is an eye, I just think the satellite is a little deceiving. as the clear area is not directly centered over the eye, but probably on the SW portion of the eye.
0 likes   
Top
dennis1x1

#5 Postby dennis1x1 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 2:49 am

clear is the eye...pretty evident here with curved convection completely wrapping from all sides...

the storm isnt symmetric around the eye yet....but i dont think the sat is deceiving about where the eye is.


http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/04_ ... _full.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
CaluWxBill
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 577
Joined: Sun Dec 21, 2003 8:31 pm
Location: Southwest PA
Contact:
Contact CaluWxBill

#6 Postby CaluWxBill » Sun Sep 05, 2004 2:56 am

Yeah I concede victory on this issue

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/04_ ... thumb.html
0 likes   
Top
dennis1x1

#7 Postby dennis1x1 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 2:58 am

hehe....the almighty satellite changing every few minutes!!

i wouldve tended to agree with you except for the last several frames.....some impressive rapid organization....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
CaluWxBill
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 577
Joined: Sun Dec 21, 2003 8:31 pm
Location: Southwest PA
Contact:
Contact CaluWxBill

#8 Postby CaluWxBill » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:00 am

dennis1x1 wrote:hehe....the almighty satellite changing every few minutes!!

i wouldve tended to agree with you except for the last several frames.....some impressive rapid organization....


Its definitely Hurricane Ivan
0 likes   
Top
dennis1x1

#9 Postby dennis1x1 » Sun Sep 05, 2004 3:02 am

only question is what category :eek:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/trop ... N-434W.jpg

just looking for an excuse to use that smiley.
0 likes   
Top
Florida_brit
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 159
Joined: Sun Aug 29, 2004 11:54 am
Location: Jensen Beach, FL

#10 Postby Florida_brit » Sun Sep 05, 2004 4:06 am

Yes Ivan is officially a hurricane! http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: KirbyDude25 and 231 guests