Ivans track next week

[air360]

what are the factors that will be in play next week for ivan. What will we be looking at to try and decide if he will turn north and go up the coast or turn west and go into the GOM??

[Brent]

Troughs, ridges, etc. The same things that affected Frances. Too early to say right now.

[air360]

yea, i wasnt sure if we knew of a trough/ridge that we know will possibly be in the area or not...like with frances we knew there was going to be one there...and the deciding factor was the strength of it....

[Brent]

yea, i wasnt sure if we knew of a trough/ridge that we know will possibly be in the area or not...like with frances we knew there was going to be one there...and the deciding factor was the strength of it....

There's going to be a weakness in the ridge that will cause Ivan to turn WNW and then NW by mid to late week, but beyond 5 days, I really don't want to speculate. We'll know more as the days go on.

[air360]

right...definently will know more as the days go by..and it IS way to early to really know anything for sure....thanks for the quick responses!!

[CourierPR]

Deja vu all over again, to quote the great Yogi Berra.

[Opal storm]

It just never ends

[Stephanie]

I think this is a year that will be compared to and discussed for years! Unbelievable!

[Patrick99]

NHC has been nailing their tracks. I think I am simply going to trust what the NHC says on this one. It's fun to try and prove the hurricane center wrong, but Ivan is looking pretty well behaved - no reason not to believe their forecasts.

[Big_Steve]

:?:

Looks like Ivan will be near Cuba in about 5 days; correct? That far out are there any weather influences that might effect the storm and recurve it to the north as a fish storm?

Some were saying just a few days ago that Ivan might make it into the GOM. Any chance of that still today or will Ivan more than likely become another fish storm?


Big Steve
Biloxi, MS


End Of Message
09/05/04

[CourierPR]

The NHC has done remarkably well in forecasting these storms. I think they deserve some praise.

[Big_Steve]

:?:

CourierPR:

Did you attempt to answer my question?



Big Steve
Biloxi, MS


End Of Message
09/05/04

[charleston_hugo_veteran]

NHC has been nailing their tracks. I think I am simply going to trust what the NHC says on this one. It's fun to try and prove the hurricane center wrong, but Ivan is looking pretty well behaved - no reason not to believe their forecasts.

i agree

[air360]

Big_steve...i think right now the general consensus is that we dont know for sure what it will do...especially that far out. just by looking at the forecast track it looks very possibl that it will have some effect on the US (or fish) somewhere and not so much the GOM..but again...that far out anything can happen...

[Stormcenter]

The NHC has done remarkably well in forecasting these storms. I think they deserve some praise.

Remarkable is a strong word. I would say a good job so far.

I think they will have their work cut out for with Ivan.

[Big_Steve]

[quote="air360"]Big_steve...i think right now the general consensus is that we dont know for sure what it will do...especially that far out. just by looking at the forecast track it looks very possibl that it will have some effect on the US (or fish) somewhere and not so much the GOM..but again...that far out anything can happen...[/quote]


Thank you air360 for the reply.