Very strong wording from NHC on Ivan...

[Brent]

Oh my ****.

IVAN IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DEEPENING OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS.
BOTH SHIPS AND GFDL GUIDANCE BRING IVAN UP TO 125 KT AT THE 24 HOUR
FORECAST PERIOD. THE SHIPS RAPID INTENSITY INDEX SUGGESTS THAT THE
CURRENT INTENSIFICATION PHASE WILL CONTINUE AS THE PROBABILITY FOR
RAPID INTENSIFICATION IS NEARLY NINE TIMES THE SAMPLE MEAN. GIVEN
THE CURRENT INTENSIFICATION TREND AND THE EXTREMELY FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...IVAN IS FORECAST TO REACH 130
KT IN 12 HOURS. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY AFTER THAT
TIME.

[Sean in New Orleans]

Could Ivan turn out to be another Gilbert? Does anyone remember Gilbert in the Carribean years ago (in the 80's) that had sustained winds of 195mph and the lowest barometric pressure ever recorded? I can't remember the pressure but it was unbelievable.

[B-Bear]

Could Ivan turn out to be another Gilbert? Does anyone remember Gilbert in the Carribean years ago (in the 80's) that had sustained winds of 195mph and the lowest barometric pressure ever recorded? I can't remember the pressure but it was unbelievable.

I think the pressure was 888 mb.

[abajan]

Yep, the pressure was 888 mb. It's easy to remember because it was 888 in '88!

[Opal storm]

You better hope to God this weakens before affecting the U.S.

[abajan]

You better hope to God this weakens before affecting the U.S.

Actually, I'm praying to God that it weakens before affecting Barbados!

[canegrl04]

Mitch was a pretty bada**,too.

[deadcities]

Could Ivan turn out to be another Gilbert? Does anyone remember Gilbert in the Carribean years ago (in the 80's) that had sustained winds of 195mph and the lowest barometric pressure ever recorded? I can't remember the pressure but it was unbelievable.

(1988) Gilbert's highest sustained winds were 175mph, gusts over 200.
I remember more about that one that I care to, I had to do a report on it in middle school.

[Sean in New Orleans]

That's right..it was 1988 and Gilbert had max sustained winds of 175mph and gusts to 218mph...pressure dropped to 26.22." http://www.disasterrelief.org/Disasters/981030Gilbert/

[FungusMoldlyColdcuts]

um, for the misinformed...

Gilbert was max sustained winds 185 mph.

And the pressure although was officially 888 mb, it is believed that the recon obs were lower than that but was low to the point that it was discounted due to belief their readings were wrong. 883 mb.

[Sean in New Orleans]

Ooops...sorry my link and I are misinformed! I think I do remember John Hope stating max winds of 185mph.

[btsgmdad]

Hurricane Gilbert and John Hope are what made me the hurricane addict I am today.

[FungusMoldlyColdcuts]

that an the insatiable appetite for Stephanie abrhams. oh wait, thats me

[Sean in New Orleans]

Hurricane Gilbert and John Hope are what made me the hurricane addict I am today.

It sealed it for many of us...I thought of John Hope as this system was hitting Florida earlier today--just briefly...

[btsgmdad]

that an the insatiable appetite for Stephanie abrhams. oh wait, thats me

I can't deny my appetite for Stephanie is quite insatiable too.

[FungusMoldlyColdcuts]

weather geek aside, we are all human after all. :>

[southerngale]

I'm human and no appetite for Stephanie Abrhams. Now Jon Bon Jovi...another story.

[rtd2]

Qoute" that had sustained winds of 195mph and the lowest barometric pressure ever recorded?"



Not splitting Hairs sean but I think Typhoon TIP (Pacific)was lowest Pressure ever recorded...at 870 or 871?mb Gilbert was however stronger than TIP in winds and indeed still holds the lowest pressure measured in altantic basin..... G'BERT in my opinion is the grand daddy of all atlantic based 'canes since!

[Sean in New Orleans]

Look at my picture in the gallery, rtd2---I have no hairs to split!! In all seriousness, I should have stated in the Western Hemisphere.

[rtd2]

LOL no problem sean.....I get that ? alot so just thought I would pass it along! maybe something you may know that i've never confirmed...? in Gilbert I heard Hurricane hunters was not allowed to fly normal flight level(700mb...10,000ft) to pennatrate Eyewall? Is this a myth?