First, thank goodness my cable was restored today. I don't know if I could go another day with no at-home access to Storm2k!

Now, regarding the models, it's the TREND that matters. The eastern outlier, the GFS, has been slowly trending more westward, while the western outliers, the UKMET and CMC, have been slowly trending more eastward. Others (NOGAPS, ECMWF) have been relatively similar from run to run, with the NOGAPS showing a path N just off the west coast of Florida and the ECMWF plowing Ivan straight up the spine of the state. Another trend: Many models have started indicating more of a NE or NNE "hook" in the 120-hour period or so, as opposed to a move due N.
Put it all together, and you get a TREND toward a landfall somewhere between Tampa on the west coast of FL and Miami/Broward on the east coast (or possibly, a close miss to the east). I do believe that's what we'll eventually see, though as I've maintained in other posts, it truly is too early to tell.