Ivan Advisories
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- crazycajuncane
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- vbhoutex
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Ladies and gentlemen!! Stop the bickering!! And please stop twisting others words to say something that was not said.
Go to the top of Hurricane Hollow Forum and read Marshall's warning.
We are getting ready to start handing out suspensions if this does not stop!!! This is not a threat, IT IS A PROMISE!!
Go to the top of Hurricane Hollow Forum and read Marshall's warning.
We are getting ready to start handing out suspensions if this does not stop!!! This is not a threat, IT IS A PROMISE!!
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- Sean in New Orleans
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They are showing the NHC track and sticking to their discussions. WWL will not make any "on air" serious comments about the track until it is in the Gulf, IMO. However, if you go to their weather forum, you will frequently see rather frank posts from David Bernard and John Gumm and detailed explanations of what they are thinking.
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- wxwatcher2
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- Sean in New Orleans
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wxwatcher2 wrote:Thanks John for posting this information.
I wondered why the info and the graphics on TWC were different from the NHC.
I think TWC would be wise to come back in line with the rest of the weather community.
Their reliability is going downhill very fast in a lot of peoples estimation.
It's actually my post---I copied this from the WWL forum, but, included the link to keep things legal.
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- crazycajuncane
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Here in Lafayette, Rob Perillo is agreeing with a hit in Flordia, but he also covers by saying this thing could go as west as Alabama.
Many factors have to play out and timing is the key. He did mention that Hurricanes sometimes do what they want and that makes the 5 day forecast almost impossible.
And yes, I believe Hurricanes have a mind of their own.
They were off on Charleys landing and intesity.
Frances wasn't supposed to camp out in Flordia all weekend. The forecast changed many times.
Ivan has been on key, but the first forecasts had it in the central gulf.
It's just wait and see right now.
Many factors have to play out and timing is the key. He did mention that Hurricanes sometimes do what they want and that makes the 5 day forecast almost impossible.
And yes, I believe Hurricanes have a mind of their own.
They were off on Charleys landing and intesity.
Frances wasn't supposed to camp out in Flordia all weekend. The forecast changed many times.
Ivan has been on key, but the first forecasts had it in the central gulf.
It's just wait and see right now.
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- crazycajuncane
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calidoug wrote:Yes, it looks like the eastern end or a near miss to the N, although one has to always include the caveat that things could change-- the path could bend back more to the left,although that seems unlikely at this point.
You are talking like the storm is 100 miles off the Florida coastline.
It is very possible that Ivan MAY never come close to Central or South Florida. I think you fail to realize how FAR he still is from Florida or anywhere along the US coastline.
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- skysummit
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I know when a high builds in, it normally will stop a storm from turning, but when it weakens, what exactly causes the storm to follow the perimeter as the high backs to the east? Is there a second player right now, or if Ivan wanted to, couldn't he just continue a WNW track until he ran into something that would cause him to vier more to the north?
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- crazycajuncane
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- karenfromheaven
- Tropical Storm
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This is a nice loop:
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/CGI/PUBLIC/w ... 2004091000
Definately a westward shift from the last 00Z run. Drat, it goes right over the house...
Karen
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/CGI/PUBLIC/w ... 2004091000
Definately a westward shift from the last 00Z run. Drat, it goes right over the house...
Karen
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I saw that. They're good about explaining stuff at the forum.
Sean... a suggestion? If you use the "quote" function (see the button^) around the part you are copying ie
Then it would be easier to figure out who said what.
'shana
Sean... a suggestion? If you use the "quote" function (see the button^) around the part you are copying ie
This one
Then it would be easier to figure out who said what.
'shana
Last edited by Shoshana on Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:50 am, edited 1 time in total.
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