Ivan Advisories
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- Tropical Wave
- Posts: 4
- Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 2:58 pm
- Location: Cape San Blas, FL
Coral Palms wrote:First, thank you for all of the wonderful info on this site. I am a long time reader, first post.
I live in Atlanta but have a new house on Cape San Blas, FL. (about 25 miles west of Apalachicola)
I found the storm surge map for the Cape and it doesn't look good if a hurricane comes our way. When should I think about boarding up?
You are looking down the barrel of a Category 3 hurricane!
The surge should be arriving by mid-morning wednesday.
Be done boarding up no later than tuesday eve, and out by early wed!
I'd do that even if they came out and said "It's gonna hit Tampa."
Take care and be safe!
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- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 146
- Joined: Sun Sep 14, 2003 12:57 pm
- Location: Earth
Ivan Looping ?
In the Hi-Resolution Visible Loop http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/post-goes - it shows that Ivan is going thru a cyclonic loop. If this is the case than it would be interesting to see the direction it resumes after completing this loop.
For any experts out there, please review and let us know what you think?
Thanks
Ernie
For any experts out there, please review and let us know what you think?
Thanks
Ernie
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- Professional-Met
- Posts: 2720
- Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 8:33 pm
- Location: Madison, WI
- Contact:
Coral - I was mentioning this yesterday, but it has been stated by a relatively famous meteorologist (Joe Bastardi) this morning, that IF Ivan appears to be headed in west of Cape San Blas...he could be a Cat 5 at landfall. In that event, the storm surge would be phenomenal. The idea is that if the steering currents don't turn Ivan north far enough east, then the turn will come at a point when Ivan has little interaction w/ land and much more interaction with the warmer waters of the central Gulf. It is something to consider now, and we should know better in a few days where Ivan is more likely to be headed.
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Ivan's track very uncertain...
The dry air line seems to be pushing more east, as it has moved through the western panhandle. This trough appears to be digging deeper and deeper. The ULL is showing no signs of slowing down or moving away from Florida. Ivan is moving slower, now at 10 mph. Its direction is more WNW now, instead of nearly due west.
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... g&itype=wv
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... g&itype=wv
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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- Stormtrack03
- Category 1
- Posts: 377
- Age: 43
- Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2004 9:06 pm
- Location: Downingtown, PA
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