Ivan Advisories

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
brudeb
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 19
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 5:56 pm
Location: Palm Coast, FL

#4281 Postby brudeb » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:50 pm

sorry I am learning about this stuff. but what is an annular cane? :?:
0 likes   
Top
btsgmdad
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 371
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 9:51 am
Location: Lincoln Park, MI

#4282 Postby btsgmdad » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:52 pm

Check out the loop now, you can really see it at the end!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Pebbles
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1994
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 1:42 pm
Location: New Lenox, IL (SW of Chicago)

#4283 Postby Pebbles » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:52 pm

You were right..you can so see them now in the last few loops!
0 likes   
Top
Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

UKMET... Further West........

#4284 Postby Dean4Storms » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:52 pm

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/ukm ... =Animation
0 likes   
My opinion and statements DO NOT represent the opinion of the EMA, NHC, NWS, or any other professional agency, organization, or group. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146058
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Latest GFDL further west=Landfall between Pensacola,Destin

#4285 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:54 pm

http://weather.net-waves.com/td09.php

With every run this GFDL model shifts more west and now it is near Pensacola the line of landfall.The line of the GFDL in the grafic is the less red one at the left.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:57 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
calidoug
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 480
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:13 pm

#4286 Postby calidoug » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:55 pm

An annular cane has a larger-than-normal eye, a symmetric doughnut of convection with a less sharp distribution of wind speeds, and they tend to be very stable, not losing instensity quickly. Often you'll see mesovortices swirling in the large eye.

Isabel was in this form for a few days.

Much more here:

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~kossin/articl ... arhurr.pdf
0 likes   
Top
das8929

#4287 Postby das8929 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:55 pm

They will shift east soon. Watch.
0 likes   
Top
Dean4Storms
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6358
Age: 62
Joined: Sun Aug 31, 2003 1:01 pm
Location: Miramar Bch. FL

#4288 Postby Dean4Storms » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:56 pm

Actually that is east of Pensacola over Ft. Walton Bch/Destin!!

YIKES!!!
0 likes   
My opinion and statements DO NOT represent the opinion of the EMA, NHC, NWS, or any other professional agency, organization, or group. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
southerngale
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 27418
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)

#4289 Postby southerngale » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:56 pm

Why das?
0 likes   
Please support Storm2k by making a donation today. It is greatly appreciated! Click here: Image

Image my Cowboys Image my RocketsImage my Astros
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38107
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#4290 Postby Brent » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:57 pm

das8929 wrote:They will shift east soon. Watch.


Keep thinking that. They are continuing to shift west.
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Anonymous

#4291 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:57 pm

Because he/she is one of the many or so person of doom and gloom sorts. That's why.
0 likes   
Top
Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#4292 Postby Sanibel » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:58 pm

Well if you asked the storm itself, it looks like it is blowing a new eye and turning towards us here in SW Florida...

(Oh Great!)
0 likes   
Top
ilmc172pilot
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 208
Joined: Fri Aug 27, 2004 12:28 pm

Spin in mid atlantic

#4293 Postby ilmc172pilot » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:58 pm

has anyone seen that spin of storms in the mid atlantic?.....could thius be another storm forming?
0 likes   
Top
calidoug
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 480
Joined: Sun Sep 07, 2003 3:13 pm

#4294 Postby calidoug » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:00 pm

Here's a great source on annular hurricanes, for those who wonder what the heck folks are talking about:

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~kossin/articl ... arhurr.pdf
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
southerngale
Retired Staff
Retired Staff
Posts: 27418
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 1:27 am
Location: Southeast Texas (Beaumont area)

#4295 Postby southerngale » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:01 pm

He said to expect a shift back to the east so I was hoping to hear why. das, if you want people to believe a comment like that, just give some reasoning. If you've seen something that makes you think it will shift back to the right, please share it with all of us. Maybe some of us missed it.
0 likes   
Top
FLGuest
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 28
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 4:24 pm
Location: Lakeland, FL

#4296 Postby FLGuest » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:01 pm

Come on! GO WEST WEST WEST!, jump all over it people.... No body on this board knows where this storm is headed..... The "models" could very well go back EAST than WEST again....
0 likes   
Top
Anonymous

#4297 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:02 pm

Wow--theres a model on crack for ya :lol: :lol: :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146058
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#4298 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:03 pm

Jekyhe32210 wrote:Wow--theres a model on crack for ya :lol: :lol: :lol:


Why do you say that?
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Lockhart
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 174
Joined: Thu Sep 02, 2004 4:34 am
Location: Miami, FL

#4299 Postby Lockhart » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:04 pm

Typical. A comment saying it'll put South Florida in more danger, and when asked for a reason, there is none. Thanks a lot.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Sean in New Orleans
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1794
Joined: Thu Aug 28, 2003 7:26 pm
Location: New Orleans, LA 30.0N 90.0W
Contact:
Contact Sean in New Orleans

#4300 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:05 pm

Now we're finally starting to get some models where I've been thinking this storm would go for the last 3 days. I knew they'd come around. I'm actually starting to even think Alabama, today, but, we've got more time to watch and see if that would come to pass.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2004”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest