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brudeb
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#4281 Postby brudeb » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:50 pm

sorry I am learning about this stuff. but what is an annular cane? :?:
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btsgmdad
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#4282 Postby btsgmdad » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:52 pm

Check out the loop now, you can really see it at the end!
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Pebbles
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#4283 Postby Pebbles » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:52 pm

You were right..you can so see them now in the last few loops!
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Dean4Storms
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UKMET... Further West........

#4284 Postby Dean4Storms » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:52 pm

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/ukm ... =Animation
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cycloneye
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Latest GFDL further west=Landfall between Pensacola,Destin

#4285 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:54 pm

http://weather.net-waves.com/td09.php

With every run this GFDL model shifts more west and now it is near Pensacola the line of landfall.The line of the GFDL in the grafic is the less red one at the left.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:57 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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calidoug
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#4286 Postby calidoug » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:55 pm

An annular cane has a larger-than-normal eye, a symmetric doughnut of convection with a less sharp distribution of wind speeds, and they tend to be very stable, not losing instensity quickly. Often you'll see mesovortices swirling in the large eye.

Isabel was in this form for a few days.

Much more here:

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~kossin/articl ... arhurr.pdf
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#4287 Postby das8929 » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:55 pm

They will shift east soon. Watch.
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Dean4Storms
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#4288 Postby Dean4Storms » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:56 pm

Actually that is east of Pensacola over Ft. Walton Bch/Destin!!

YIKES!!!
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southerngale
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#4289 Postby southerngale » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:56 pm

Why das?
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#4290 Postby Brent » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:57 pm

das8929 wrote:They will shift east soon. Watch.


Keep thinking that. They are continuing to shift west.
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#4291 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:57 pm

Because he/she is one of the many or so person of doom and gloom sorts. That's why.
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Sanibel
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#4292 Postby Sanibel » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:58 pm

Well if you asked the storm itself, it looks like it is blowing a new eye and turning towards us here in SW Florida...

(Oh Great!)
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ilmc172pilot
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Spin in mid atlantic

#4293 Postby ilmc172pilot » Sat Sep 11, 2004 12:58 pm

has anyone seen that spin of storms in the mid atlantic?.....could thius be another storm forming?
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calidoug
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#4294 Postby calidoug » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:00 pm

Here's a great source on annular hurricanes, for those who wonder what the heck folks are talking about:

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~kossin/articl ... arhurr.pdf
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southerngale
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#4295 Postby southerngale » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:01 pm

He said to expect a shift back to the east so I was hoping to hear why. das, if you want people to believe a comment like that, just give some reasoning. If you've seen something that makes you think it will shift back to the right, please share it with all of us. Maybe some of us missed it.
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FLGuest
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#4296 Postby FLGuest » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:01 pm

Come on! GO WEST WEST WEST!, jump all over it people.... No body on this board knows where this storm is headed..... The "models" could very well go back EAST than WEST again....
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#4297 Postby Anonymous » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:02 pm

Wow--theres a model on crack for ya :lol: :lol: :lol:
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cycloneye
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#4298 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:03 pm

Jekyhe32210 wrote:Wow--theres a model on crack for ya :lol: :lol: :lol:


Why do you say that?
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Lockhart
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#4299 Postby Lockhart » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:04 pm

Typical. A comment saying it'll put South Florida in more danger, and when asked for a reason, there is none. Thanks a lot.
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Sean in New Orleans
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#4300 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sat Sep 11, 2004 1:05 pm

Now we're finally starting to get some models where I've been thinking this storm would go for the last 3 days. I knew they'd come around. I'm actually starting to even think Alabama, today, but, we've got more time to watch and see if that would come to pass.
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