SE United States setup for worst flooding ever?

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chemist44
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Mudslides and Dams Breaking

#41 Postby chemist44 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 12:31 pm

Besides the flooding that will occur with as little as 6 inches of rain, let alone 12-18inches...dams are weak up here in the mountains, especially the Lake Lure dam. The dam in montreat did break during Frances. Also many, many mudslides will occur and that can have a tremendous impact both in peoples wellbeing as well as transportation. Many roads still closed from Frances. It's a mess up here in asheville. Henry Margusty, an accuweather severe weather forcaster bsically said that rivers in asheville are at 100 year levels for September and he said, and I quote, "Flooding of BIBLICAL PROPORTIONS!" :cry:
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#42 Postby aperson001 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 12:41 pm

I live on Falls Lake in Raleigh (lucky to be on a hill though). Here's currently information on our area lakes:

Falls Lake is at 251.5 currently. Floyd flood level was 264.34.

Jordan is at 216.0. Flood of Record in 1945 was 242.1.
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#43 Postby Skywatch_NC » Tue Sep 14, 2004 12:47 pm

aperson001 wrote:I live on Falls Lake in Raleigh (lucky to be on a hill though). Here's currently information on our area lakes:

Falls Lake is at 251.5 currently. Floyd flood level was 264.34.

Jordan is at 216.0. Flood of Record in 1945 was 242.1.


I don't live too far from the Falls Lake area (Wakefield Plantation).

Eric
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floodprone
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#44 Postby floodprone » Tue Sep 14, 2004 12:48 pm

Am also in Asheville and had plans to go to East NC for the weekend. Have moved my reservations up by one day and am planning on leaving Thursday if weather permits. Am concerned about getting back into town after Sunday. What would be the best route from the Greensboro area where I might avoid I-40 backups and mudslides??
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#45 Postby Three Blind Mice » Tue Sep 14, 2004 12:52 pm

Chemist 44, I have a house a few miles down river from the Lake Lure Dam!! Anything on the news up there about the dam? Last I heard all the flood gates were wide open.


http://groovyadventures.com/gallery/vie ... am&id=04_G
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#46 Postby Guest » Tue Sep 14, 2004 12:52 pm

aperson001 any word on how much they are releasing to go down stream this time? They really did something to us downstream last time.
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#47 Postby Kilgore Trout » Tue Sep 14, 2004 12:56 pm

floodprone wrote:Am also in Asheville and had plans to go to East NC for the weekend. Have moved my reservations up by one day and am planning on leaving Thursday if weather permits. Am concerned about getting back into town after Sunday. What would be the best route from the Greensboro area where I might avoid I-40 backups and mudslides??


You could always go down I-85 to past Gastonia and take 74 through Shelby to I-26. This adds about 40 miles to your drive.
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chemist44
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Lake Lure Dam

#48 Postby chemist44 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 2:17 pm

I have no "official" information on the lake lure dam...but friends of mine in bat cave said officials up there are very concerned due to high levels on the Broad River..that there was some damage after Frances...at least they are letting the water out early...not like the bozos in asheville who pretty much wiped out biltmore villlage when they opened the gates right in the middle of frances........
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#49 Postby Guest » Tue Sep 14, 2004 4:38 pm

It's still looking like western NC is in some trouble.
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Pileus
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#50 Postby Pileus » Tue Sep 14, 2004 4:54 pm

I have seen a few recent posts about it. This reminds me of stories of
the Great Flood of 1906 in the Carolinas. Very same circumstances.
two tropical systems converging, one from the atlantic, other from the SW
at the same time. Greatest official rainfall ever recorded in the Carolinas
during that episode.
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#51 Postby Guest » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:00 pm

We are also getting atlantic ocean feed showers right now, which is supposed to continue for seven days according to local weather stations. Not to mention whatever we get from Ivan or Jeanne.
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Hugo_Charlotte
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#52 Postby Hugo_Charlotte » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:04 pm

Wolf...that game is gonna be a sloppy mess...! I am really wondering just how the dynamics set up with that easterly flow. How much are the mets east of here predicting...like Raleigh etc?
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#53 Postby Guest » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:08 pm

I'm watching the local news now. I'll give the most recent update after they talk about it.

Oh yeah that game is going to be sloppy.
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Hugo_Charlotte
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#54 Postby Hugo_Charlotte » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:10 pm

Everyone in the Carolinas Post what your met's are saying so we can stay on top of our little dealings with Ivan.
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#55 Postby MBryant » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:14 pm

FEMA will have it's hands full. Ivan is stronger than expected and going into a populated area rather than a sparsly populated area and,

Ivan is expected to stall in already saturated areas producing record flooding and,

Jeanne may provide additional moisture and rainfall to the same area and,

Karl may be as big as Frances and Ivan by the time it reaches the US.

FEMA already had it's hands full with Charlie.
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#56 Postby Guest » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:15 pm

He said Sat and Sun Ivan is going to be parked over the tennessee and north carolina border. He also said Ivan can either cause Jeanne not to hit us or if Ivan weakened more over land and was more west it would cause Jeanne to track toward the Carolina's. So it sounds like the less rain we get from Ivan the higher the chance we get Jeanne lol
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Hugo_Charlotte
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#57 Postby Hugo_Charlotte » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:35 pm

Sheesh...Was that Greg Fischle?? The mets here didn't even go into Jeanne. I guess they are all gassed about Ivan.

Anyone in Asheville or Greenville Spartanburg are have some information on their mets/area?
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aperson001
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#58 Postby aperson001 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:46 pm

NCstateWolf: I don't have on hand any info on the amount being released. I'll see what I can find out though. Oh...and thanks for the update on the rain. I didn't get to watch the news because the kids hijacked the TV.
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Pileus
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#59 Postby Pileus » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:47 pm

Eric Thomas on WBTV in Charlotte said the scenario was becoming
weird and disturbing. Also mentioned Ivan's possible stall over W. NC
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weatherfreak38
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#60 Postby weatherfreak38 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:53 pm

Hello. A newbie here with a first time post. I am in Western NC and also Eric Thomas in Charlotte. He also stated that if the storm does stall over TN, there could be 20+ inches of rain.
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