AP: Chance Of Cat 5 Landfall...1.2 Million Warned To Flee NO

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Hurricane Cheese
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AP: Chance Of Cat 5 Landfall...1.2 Million Warned To Flee NO

#1 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Tue Sep 14, 2004 4:52 pm

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=s ... ne_ivan_15


Here's the quote:

"Forecasters said Ivan, a killer blamed for at least 68 deaths in the Caribbean, could reach 160 mph and strengthen to Category 5, the highest level, by the time it blows ashore as early as Thursday somewhere along the Gulf Coast."
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#2 Postby dennis1x1 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 4:56 pm

i dont suppose "forecasters" was expanded upon?
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#3 Postby PurdueWx80 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 4:58 pm

Oh great, and it's from the AP, which means it'll be ALL over the news for the next 24 hours.
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#4 Postby dennis1x1 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:00 pm

cat3/4 forecast just not exciting enough for the AP......
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#5 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:02 pm

I don't know about anyone else on this board but there is for sure a CHANCE (key word here) of this coming in as a 5.

You can never say never with mother nature.


929 mb, 147 kt flight level winds well the storm is still undergoing ERC and still waiting to pass the warm water eddy...!


I'd say that the AP was right on in saying that there's a "chance."
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#6 Postby dennis1x1 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:04 pm

theres a chance the world will end in nuclear war before ivan hits....did they report on that too?

idiots (the AP).
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#7 Postby Hurricane Cheese » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:06 pm

AP or not, it doesn't really matter too much if it's a Cat 5 or Cat 4...


Even a low end Cat 4 (135 mph) would do massive destruction! :(


Case in point September 21, 1989....Hurricane Hugo...135 mph sustained winds...20 foot storm surge.
Last edited by Hurricane Cheese on Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#8 Postby canegrl04 » Tue Sep 14, 2004 5:07 pm

Nobody expected Charley to become a cat 4,but he did by bombing out in the last hour before landfall.Anything is possible.Even NHC is saying AT LEAST CAT 3,which means they are not sure
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