Center almost over water - Jeanne

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jabber
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Center almost over water - Jeanne

#1 Postby jabber » Wed Sep 15, 2004 3:29 pm

Almost back over the water.....


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... tjua.shtml
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redirectedenergy
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#2 Postby redirectedenergy » Wed Sep 15, 2004 3:59 pm

It looks like Jeanne now has a distinct eye. Does anyone know how to get hold of the output from the FSU super-ensemble model. All the information from the NOAA sites infer that this model has been giving the most accurate predictions for Charley, Frances and Ivan.
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#3 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 4:01 pm

redirectedenergy - all I know is that the NHC discussions are saying their track is to the right of the FSU model, which doesn't put my mind at ease...
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#4 Postby jabber » Wed Sep 15, 2004 4:02 pm

model is not public....wish it was
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#5 Postby AdvAutoBob » Wed Sep 15, 2004 4:03 pm

It's incredible.... the last two frames show an eye just opening right up! I wouldn't be surprised to see Cat 1 by 11PM..
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#6 Postby Cookiely » Wed Sep 15, 2004 4:05 pm

Incredible radar. Yes, it looks like an eye and I also think they are underestimating the power and strength of this storm. I thought she would have deteriorated after coming over PR.
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#7 Postby bottomsup » Wed Sep 15, 2004 4:12 pm

Wow, that storm has developed really fast.
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#8 Postby Steve H. » Wed Sep 15, 2004 4:38 pm

Big question is wether the ridge wil extend west to keep it on a WNW course after 48 hours, or will DT and JB eat crow. Models have shifted right but that may change again. DTs last comment was that it shouldn't make it north of 30N without a bend toward the west. Joe B has it going into the GOM, then LA. I'm siding toward DT, but not the extreme left like JB. We'll see. :wink:
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#9 Postby HurricaneQueen » Wed Sep 15, 2004 5:18 pm

Has anyone heard from any of our friends in PR? I don't see any of them on line right now. Condition may be preventing them from access. I know last night Cycloneye said he was moving and might not be online for a while.
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#10 Postby Psychonaut777 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 5:20 pm

My aunt lives on a house boat on the ocean just off easter Puerto Rico. She says she's fine now but was bounced around a lot!
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#11 Postby cajungal » Wed Sep 15, 2004 5:28 pm

Steve H. wrote:Big question is wether the ridge wil extend west to keep it on a WNW course after 48 hours, or will DT and JB eat crow. Models have shifted right but that may change again. DTs last comment was that it shouldn't make it north of 30N without a bend toward the west. Joe B has it going into the GOM, then LA. I'm siding toward DT, but not the extreme left like JB. We'll see. :wink:


What? How could he possible know that already? The NHC looks like it has Jean more of a threat to the Carolinas. I don't think it will get in the gulf. But, maybe we should keep our boards up just in case.
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#12 Postby Patrick99 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:15 pm

It looks like Jeanne didn't want to get dashed to pieces over the DR mountains - earlier, I thought she might.
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