Center almost over water - Jeanne

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
jabber
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 688
Joined: Mon Mar 24, 2003 5:36 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC (former Boynton Beach, Fl)

Center almost over water - Jeanne

#1 Postby jabber » Wed Sep 15, 2004 3:29 pm

Almost back over the water.....


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... tjua.shtml
0 likes   
Top
redirectedenergy
Tropical Wave
Tropical Wave
Posts: 3
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 3:32 pm
Location: Jupiter, FL

#2 Postby redirectedenergy » Wed Sep 15, 2004 3:59 pm

It looks like Jeanne now has a distinct eye. Does anyone know how to get hold of the output from the FSU super-ensemble model. All the information from the NOAA sites infer that this model has been giving the most accurate predictions for Charley, Frances and Ivan.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Canelaw99
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2128
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 8:27 am
Location: Homestead, FL

#3 Postby Canelaw99 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 4:01 pm

redirectedenergy - all I know is that the NHC discussions are saying their track is to the right of the FSU model, which doesn't put my mind at ease...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
jabber
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 688
Joined: Mon Mar 24, 2003 5:36 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC (former Boynton Beach, Fl)

#4 Postby jabber » Wed Sep 15, 2004 4:02 pm

model is not public....wish it was
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
AdvAutoBob
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 85
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 5:03 pm
Location: North Ft Myers, FL
Contact:
Contact AdvAutoBob

#5 Postby AdvAutoBob » Wed Sep 15, 2004 4:03 pm

It's incredible.... the last two frames show an eye just opening right up! I wouldn't be surprised to see Cat 1 by 11PM..
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Cookiely
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3211
Age: 74
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 7:31 am
Location: Tampa, Florida

#6 Postby Cookiely » Wed Sep 15, 2004 4:05 pm

Incredible radar. Yes, it looks like an eye and I also think they are underestimating the power and strength of this storm. I thought she would have deteriorated after coming over PR.
0 likes   
Top
bottomsup
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 10
Joined: Wed Sep 08, 2004 7:47 am
Location: Charleston, SC

#7 Postby bottomsup » Wed Sep 15, 2004 4:12 pm

Wow, that storm has developed really fast.
0 likes   
Top
Steve H.
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2163
Joined: Sat Oct 19, 2002 9:06 am
Location: Palm Bay, Florida

#8 Postby Steve H. » Wed Sep 15, 2004 4:38 pm

Big question is wether the ridge wil extend west to keep it on a WNW course after 48 hours, or will DT and JB eat crow. Models have shifted right but that may change again. DTs last comment was that it shouldn't make it north of 30N without a bend toward the west. Joe B has it going into the GOM, then LA. I'm siding toward DT, but not the extreme left like JB. We'll see. :wink:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HurricaneQueen
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1011
Age: 80
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 7:36 pm
Location: No. Naples, Fl (Vanderbilt Beach area)

#9 Postby HurricaneQueen » Wed Sep 15, 2004 5:18 pm

Has anyone heard from any of our friends in PR? I don't see any of them on line right now. Condition may be preventing them from access. I know last night Cycloneye said he was moving and might not be online for a while.
0 likes   
GO FLORIDA GATORS
Top
Psychonaut777
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 48
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 9:24 am

#10 Postby Psychonaut777 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 5:20 pm

My aunt lives on a house boat on the ocean just off easter Puerto Rico. She says she's fine now but was bounced around a lot!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cajungal
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2336
Age: 49
Joined: Sun Mar 14, 2004 9:34 pm
Location: Schriever, Louisiana (60 miles southwest of New Orleans)

#11 Postby cajungal » Wed Sep 15, 2004 5:28 pm

Steve H. wrote:Big question is wether the ridge wil extend west to keep it on a WNW course after 48 hours, or will DT and JB eat crow. Models have shifted right but that may change again. DTs last comment was that it shouldn't make it north of 30N without a bend toward the west. Joe B has it going into the GOM, then LA. I'm siding toward DT, but not the extreme left like JB. We'll see. :wink:


What? How could he possible know that already? The NHC looks like it has Jean more of a threat to the Carolinas. I don't think it will get in the gulf. But, maybe we should keep our boards up just in case.
0 likes   
Top
Patrick99
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1772
Joined: Mon May 24, 2004 3:43 pm
Location: SW Broward, FL

#12 Postby Patrick99 » Wed Sep 15, 2004 6:15 pm

It looks like Jeanne didn't want to get dashed to pieces over the DR mountains - earlier, I thought she might.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 225 guests