So far so good. We just hit our first verification point and almost nailed it with the 4 member ensemble from last night:
Concensus for 12Z: 21.0N 73.0W
Verification for 12Z: 21.1N 72.8W
Here's the forecast from this morning:
Members: 3
MW
SouthernWX
NWHCC
Forecast Track for 09182004 12Z
0: 21.1 72.8 45 knots
+12: 22.4 73.6 48 knots
+24: 23.6 74.0 52 knots
+36: 24.9 73.8 55 knots
+48: 25.9 73.7 58 knots
+72: 27.3 72.9 62 knots
+96: 26.8 72.4 62 knots
+120: 26.3 73.1 65 knots
MW
10:30AM Storm2K Ensemble Forecast Number 2
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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10:30AM Storm2K Ensemble Forecast Number 2
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Updating on the twitter now: http://www.twitter.com/@watkinstrack
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Derek Ortt
nwhhc archives are available at http://www.nwhhc.com/Archives/2004/Atlantic/
both the updates and discussions are archived
both the updates and discussions are archived
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