10:30AM Storm2K Ensemble Forecast Number 2

[MWatkins]

So far so good. We just hit our first verification point and almost nailed it with the 4 member ensemble from last night:

Concensus for 12Z: 21.0N 73.0W
Verification for 12Z: 21.1N 72.8W

Here's the forecast from this morning:

Members: 3

MW
SouthernWX
NWHCC

Forecast Track for 09182004 12Z

0: 21.1 72.8 45 knots
+12: 22.4 73.6 48 knots
+24: 23.6 74.0 52 knots
+36: 24.9 73.8 55 knots
+48: 25.9 73.7 58 knots
+72: 27.3 72.9 62 knots
+96: 26.8 72.4 62 knots
+120: 26.3 73.1 65 knots

MW

[MBryant]

Is there any place I can go to find old forcasts with the actual course already plotted on them? I already know about the NHC forecast archive, but having an overlay of the actual path would make it far more usefull.

[Derek Ortt]

nwhhc archives are available at http://www.nwhhc.com/Archives/2004/Atlantic/

both the updates and discussions are archived