Hurricane Karl Continues Westward!

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TampaFl
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Hurricane Karl Continues Westward!

#1 Postby TampaFl » Sun Sep 19, 2004 7:02 am

Sat. pics continue to show Hurricane Karl moving generally on a more westward path. Will the trough be strong enough to pick it up? Or will Karl continue to move west and threaten the Isalands!! :eek: :eek: NHC says that the ridge "should weaken soon and turn Karl nw then n and ne. Will this happen? The trough does not look that deep on WV loop (second link)
Thoughts and comments welcomed.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html



http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huwvloop.html
Robert 8-)
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#2 Postby indwind » Sun Sep 19, 2004 7:07 am

The CMC model shows that the trough misses Karl. Uh oh.

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/cmc ... =Animation
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#3 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 19, 2004 7:20 am

No

It CONTINUES to gain latitude. Up to 16.4 N and it's not to 45 W yet. The northern islands are at 17 and 18 N.
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#4 Postby clueless newbie » Sun Sep 19, 2004 7:58 am

Yesterday Karl was moving NW, now it is back to WNW, at one moment it was almost due west , but that did not last long.

Karl's organization has improved significantly this morning, I would not be surprised if we get our 4th Cat4 later today.
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#5 Postby x-y-no » Sun Sep 19, 2004 8:07 am

No worries. He's still gaining latitude, albeit not an awful lot in the last 12 hours. His strengthening increases the Beta effect, and there will be a weakness up ahead.

At worst, he recurves a few degrees later than I've been saying - maybe as far as 53W. But I'm still banking on just around 50W.
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#6 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Sep 19, 2004 8:19 am

This season has been so nuts,I think Karl needs watching until we actually see him recurve.I'm not saying he won't,but just in case. :eek:
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#7 Postby x-y-no » Sun Sep 19, 2004 8:40 am

Well, yeah, it's been nuts - but some calls are easier than others. I think another Cape Verde system will make it across this year, but it won't be Karl.
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#8 Postby TampaFl » Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:29 am

Agree with you canegrl04. Only time will tell.

Robert 8-)
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#9 Postby jpigott » Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:51 am

looks like Karl is on the CV expressway. His exit north is coming up shortly. Let's hope he doesn't miss his exit because there might not be another.
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#10 Postby LAwxrgal » Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:52 am

I see Mr. Trough on the WV loop waiting to scoop up Mr. Karl. This one's easy to call.

:)
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#11 Postby TampaFl » Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:54 am

:eek: :eek:
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