Recon to check 94L this afternoon TWO 11:30

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Brent
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#21 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:35 am

Air Force Met wrote:
Brent wrote:
yoda wrote:
vbhoutex wrote:This reminds me way too much of Alicia in 1983!! I am not predicting anything like that at this point, but the scenario is so similar it is scary!!!!


What was Alicia?


A Category 2 hurricane that hit just west of Houston(100 mphish winds).


Ahhh...actually a Cat 3 with 115! :-) She was my first hurricane.


LOL... sorry. :oops:

Hope it's not another major that would make SIX. :eek:
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#22 Postby Roxy » Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:39 am

Air Force Met wrote:
Brent wrote:
yoda wrote:
vbhoutex wrote:This reminds me way too much of Alicia in 1983!! I am not predicting anything like that at this point, but the scenario is so similar it is scary!!!!


What was Alicia?


A Category 2 hurricane that hit just west of Houston(100 mphish winds).


Ahhh...actually a Cat 3 with 115! :-) She was my first hurricane.


me too!
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#23 Postby stormie_skies » Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:39 am

Ackkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk! :eek:

IF this little stinker develops into something, how long do you guys think it will take to get to the Texas coast? I have to go to Dallas tomorrow and I dont wanna get stranded there.... :grr:
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#24 Postby James » Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:45 am

It looks fairly likely that it will be a TD quite soon.
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#25 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:50 am

The question is how much will it develop. Right now current progs by some(nothing official I have seen) are that it could become a TS in the 60-70mph range prior to approaching the coast closely.

If this remains the case then there shouldn't be a problem with you being stranded in Dallas, especially if it follows the possible scenario of approaching the coast and then moving back SW over the W GOM.
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#26 Postby Lindaloo » Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:51 am

stormie_skies wrote:Ackkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk! :eek:

IF this little stinker develops into something, how long do you guys think it will take to get to the Texas coast? I have to go to Dallas tomorrow and I dont wanna get stranded there.... :grr:


Can I comment? :lol: :lol:
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#27 Postby Guest » Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:52 am

I just looked at the vis of the Gulf. The disturbance seems stationary or barely moving.
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#28 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:53 am

stormie_skies wrote:Ackkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk! :eek:

IF this little stinker develops into something, how long do you guys think it will take to get to the Texas coast? I have to go to Dallas tomorrow and I dont wanna get stranded there.... :grr:


Shouldn't take long. By Saturday for sure. NHC has it moving at 10-15 mph which would get it there tomorrow.
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#29 Postby LAwxrgal » Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:54 am

Ughhhhhhhhhhhh
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#30 Postby stormie_skies » Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:55 am

Not tomorrow! :cry: I really wanted to stay home and enjoy the rain.... if I can even get home.... the creek is very much out of its bed already.....
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#31 Postby opera ghost » Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:56 am

Okay- back when we were takign guesses about Ivan the first... and I said Houston jokingly...

Right. It was a joke. Hear me you ghost of Ivan!!!!! It was a JOKE!

*wanders off to grumble*
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#32 Postby stormie_skies » Wed Sep 22, 2004 12:00 pm

:roflmao:
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#33 Postby Johnny » Wed Sep 22, 2004 12:01 pm

Alicia was my first Cane also. That is what got me hooked on weather in general. She rapped up very quickly and came from a depression and into a Cat. 3 storm in just two days. I'm gonna do a little bit of digging around and see what the conditions were like in the Gulf when she developed. If I'm not mistaken I think conditions were marginally favorable for development and she was not experiencing shear like this system is.
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#34 Postby Hou~TX~Mama » Wed Sep 22, 2004 12:04 pm

I remember driving home from work and hearing on the radio that TS Allison had formed out in the gulf and was going to hit Houston - like the NEXT day. What the h*ll???????? I wasn't closely following the weather at the time and had no idea something was brewing. She came in fast and furious.
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#35 Postby southerngale » Wed Sep 22, 2004 12:08 pm

If it's anything more than a TS, go away!
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#36 Postby LAwxrgal » Wed Sep 22, 2004 12:09 pm

Local met says this system could make landfall on Upper Texas or SW Louisiana coast...

Ughhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
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#37 Postby opera ghost » Wed Sep 22, 2004 12:11 pm

Allison the first go round wasn't too bad. I stayed off the roads and watched the wind blow happily enough- she was only a nightmare when she came back for seconds.... but if I remember correctly- Allison spun up very very fast in the gulf.

Do things normally spin up quickly when they're home grown?
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#38 Postby Johnny » Wed Sep 22, 2004 12:11 pm

Hey Moma, I was renting out a beach house down on the west end of Galveston when Allison blew in. The day before I checked the weather throughly before heading down and their was no talks of something brewing. Allison came inland the next day!! LOL I had my first experience with a tornado (not a water spout) that trip.
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#39 Postby baygirl_1 » Wed Sep 22, 2004 12:12 pm

Was Allison two years ago? Seems like that would be right because we were scheduled to go canoeing on the Escatawpa in Mississippi that Saturday. We went anyway and had a quite a time: a squall blew our canoe sideways up river! We were nuts to go!

Hope you Texans don't get anything worse that a "little" tropical storm. This season needs to start winding down soon!
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#40 Postby southerngale » Wed Sep 22, 2004 12:15 pm

baygirl..Allison was 3 years ago. June 2001

ugh! That was a nightmare!
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