Vortex for Ivan or whatever you want to call it...

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Brent
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Vortex for Ivan or whatever you want to call it...

#1 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:11 pm

It's a tropical storm.

URNT12 KNHC 222340
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 22/2340Z
B. 27 DEG 02 MIN N
89 DEG 27 MIN W
C. NA
D. 30 KT
E. 314 DEG 052 NM
F. 031 DEG 36 KT
G. 314 DEG 034 NM
H. EXTRAP 1007 MB
I. 24 C/ 256 M
J. 26 C/ 247 M
K. 23 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/1
O. .1/5 NM
P. AF963 4409A INVEST OB 15
MAX FL WIND 47 KT NW QUAD 2257Z. SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500FT.
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#2 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:12 pm

Yep ... gotta agree, even using 80% reduction that would equate to about 37 kts at the SFC ...
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#3 Postby recmod » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:13 pm

TROPICAL STORM IVAN UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT WED SEP 23 2004

AN AIR FORCE PLANE IN IVAN JUST MEASURED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AT FLIGHT LEVEL TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. IVAN IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM AND THIS WILL BE REFLECTED IN THE 10 PM CDT...0300Z SCHEDULED ADVISORY.

FORECASTER AVILA
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#4 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:14 pm

I continue saying this, this is insane!!!
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#5 Postby dixiebreeze » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:15 pm

Guess that's why Ivan is at 2.0/2.0 on the Dvorak.
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#6 Postby Bane » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:22 pm

Wow, he just continues to surprise.
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#7 Postby PTrackerLA » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:24 pm

Wow I'm impressed. I hope he doesn't surprise us...
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#8 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:24 pm

He sure doesn't look like one. Shear doesn't look like it's letting up at all as predicted.
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Explosive Development

#9 Postby Steve Cosby » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:24 pm

Yes, I know, there are lots of factors to consider but there really is a chance for explosive development given the heat content upcoming in its track.
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#10 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:26 pm

recmod wrote:TROPICAL STORM IVAN UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT WED SEP 23 2004

AN AIR FORCE PLANE IN IVAN JUST MEASURED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AT FLIGHT LEVEL TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. IVAN IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM AND THIS WILL BE REFLECTED IN THE 10 PM CDT...0300Z SCHEDULED ADVISORY.

FORECASTER AVILA


Darn I'm good. :lol:
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Doc Seminole

#11 Postby Doc Seminole » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:32 pm

So the wind and rain was not the ghost of Ivan..... IT WAS IVAN :eek:
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#12 Postby Stratosphere747 » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:38 pm

Has to be one of the sickest looking Tropica Storms I've seen...And it still looks like it is moving slow...
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Matthew5

#13 Postby Matthew5 » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:39 pm

You forgot Grace! :lol:
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Scorpion

#14 Postby Scorpion » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:41 pm

Wow, wouldnt it be amazing if the shear lessened and it took its time through the hot waters of the gulf?? We could see a hurricane!! Not that it will happen, I doubt it. But still, the mere possibility that it could is still amazing!
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#15 Postby Stormcenter » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:43 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:He sure doesn't look like one. Shear doesn't look like it's letting up at all as predicted.


It's not (shear) supposed to let up for the next 12 hours.
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#16 Postby Stratosphere747 » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:43 pm

Did that recon report show any movement?
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#17 Postby BreinLa » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:44 pm

Surprise PT lol and btw Rob said he would probabaly be a TS tonight
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