Anyone Notice?

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FLLuckyAgain
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Anyone Notice?

#1 Postby FLLuckyAgain » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:25 pm

Besides for Vortex that 4 models including the GFS,GFDL,NOGAPS, and ETA now have Jeanne making landfall in Central to SFL? This situation will put a fear in many Floridians spines when the 11:00 Advisory rolls around.. Am I wrong?
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#2 Postby Rainband » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:26 pm

watching very closely :eek:
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yoda
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Re: Anyone Notice?

#3 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:27 pm

FLLuckyAgain wrote:Besides for Vortex that 4 models including the GFS,GFDL,NOGAPS, and ETA now have Jeanne making landfall in Central to SFL? This situation will put a fear in many Floridians spines when the 11:00 Advisory rolls around.. Am I wrong?


ETA is bad IMO tropically.. so I'd throw it out.

GFDL is run off the GFS.. so bascially they would show some things that are the same

the NOGAPS.. well it was the last model besides the ECMWF to come into agreement with Ivan's first landfall.

ALL IS IMO! :P
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#4 Postby tallbunch » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:28 pm

I have a weird feeling this will ride the entire east coast....
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#5 Postby fci » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:32 pm

The difference between the models shown at the time of the 5 PM advisory and what I saw at 8 PM were STARTLING.

From NO models showing a landfall in Central or South Florida to a bullseye of 3 models is a HUGE shift.

Very curious to see the 11 PM.......
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cape_escape
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#6 Postby cape_escape » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:35 pm

Well, the wait for 11 is going to be a long, nail-biting, one!
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yoda
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#7 Postby yoda » Wed Sep 22, 2004 7:36 pm

Well you have to wait two more hours...
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#8 Postby sponger » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:36 pm

I agree FCI, stunned is the word! Even Ort seemed to wanted to bring it closer. I dont worry to much about a Cat 2 but if that dry air disapears, someone is in trouble!
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#9 Postby cape_escape » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:38 pm

yoda wrote:Well you have to wait two more hours...


Only 1 hour and 23 minutes now...lol And, I'm already out of nails! :wink:
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Aimless
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#10 Postby Aimless » Wed Sep 22, 2004 8:39 pm

I actually started to cry
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sponger
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#11 Postby sponger » Wed Sep 22, 2004 9:32 pm

Getting anxious here!
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T'Bonz
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#12 Postby T'Bonz » Wed Sep 22, 2004 10:54 pm

Crap......I don't WANT another hurricane.
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#13 Postby PurdueWx80 » Wed Sep 22, 2004 10:56 pm

You can add the 00Z GEM to the list of central FL hits...looks to go in near the Cape.

http://weatheroffice.ec.gc.ca/data/mode ... 492_50.gif
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sponger
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#14 Postby sponger » Wed Sep 22, 2004 11:06 pm

There wouldnt be a power pole standing here in N Florida. The ground feels like a wet sponge and some residents lost power from the Ivan remnants
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