Ivan looks like crap!

[HouTXmetro]

Convection is actually decreasing as night falls. Shear is still ripping Ivan apart. Can we honestly say Ivan is back? Will it be an open wave again?

[Stormcenter]

Convection is actually decreasing as night falls. Shear is still ripping Ivan apart. Can we honestly say Ivan is back? Will it be an open wave again?

Looks can be deceiving. I think you need to wait before you start one these threads until after 11pm advisory.

[Stormcenter]

Convection is actually decreasing as night falls. Shear is still ripping Ivan apart. Can we honestly say Ivan is back? Will it be an open wave again?

I rest my case.

TROPICAL STORM IVAN UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT WED SEP 23 2004

AN AIR FORCE PLANE IN IVAN JUST MEASURED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AT FLIGHT LEVEL TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. IVAN IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM AND THIS WILL BE REFLECTED IN THE 10 PM CDT...0300Z SCHEDULED ADVISORY.

FORECASTER AVILA

[lilbump3000]

Jeanne doesnt have deep thunderstorms like it should to be a cat. 2. Just like stormcenter said looks can be deceiving.

[SwampDawg]

Can you give me the link to that report....thanks

[Lindaloo]

All I can say is I am happy he looks bad.

[Stratosphere747]

Looking bad is an understatement...But as we all know Ivan could blow up in the next 24hrs if the shear ever lets up....

[Ivanova]

TROPICAL STORM IVAN UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT WED SEP 23 2004

AN AIR FORCE PLANE IN IVAN JUST MEASURED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AT FLIGHT LEVEL TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. IVAN IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM AND THIS WILL BE REFLECTED IN THE 10 PM CDT...0300Z SCHEDULED ADVISORY.

Looks like Ivan is battering the oil rigs off the LA coast now...
but I understand they have been evacuated.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html



*

[LAwxrgal]

All I can say is I am happy he looks bad.

You and me both sister!

Thing is, he shouldn't even be in the GOM again in the first place!

[KLP124]

Anyone want to make an educated guess at when winds and rain might start up in Galveston?

[Innotech]

ugh, and my dad went fishing this afternoon with my uncle on VErmillion Bay. Looks like that trip will be miserable for them lol. But I hope they are safe.

[Ixolib]

TROPICAL STORM IVAN UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT WED SEP 23 2004

AN AIR FORCE PLANE IN IVAN JUST MEASURED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AT FLIGHT LEVEL TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. IVAN IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM AND THIS WILL BE REFLECTED IN THE 10 PM CDT...0300Z SCHEDULED ADVISORY.

I guess they were re-evacuated since the first Ivan, and now again?! Oil prices are gonna go up even more if this keeps up.......



Looks like Ivan is battering the oil rigs off the LA coast now...
but I understand they have been evacuated.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html



*

[Ivanova]

Looks like Ivan is battering the oil rigs off the LA coast now...
but I understand they have been evacuated.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Quote:

"Remnants of Ivan Swing Back Into Gulf

Sep 22, 3:06 PM (ET)

By Wednesday, the remnants of the storm kicked seas up several feet, posing a new threat to fragile barrier islands and their beaches on the Louisiana coast, and forced some offshore crews to head home. Three dozen petroleum producing platforms and drilling rigs, idled since Sept. 13 because of Ivan, remain shut in."

***

"According to the federal Minerals Management Service, the amount of oil shut in between Sept. 13 and Tuesday totaled about 8.5 million barrels - around 1 percent of the annual production from the Gulf. Natural gas shut down totaled 36 billion cubic feet, or just less than 1 percent of yearly production.

There are about 600 rigs and platforms operating in the Gulf."

Entire article here:

http://apnews.myway.com/article/20040922/D858SQA00.html





Quote:

"Crude oil surges above $48 a barrel

Published: September 22 2004

Crude futures jumped to within $1 of the record highs touched last month following another hurricane-affected week for US supplies on both imports and domestic production."


Here is link for entire article

http://news.ft.com/cms/s/bef1e9fc-0c81- ... 511c8.html


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[ROCK]

Anyone want to make an educated guess at when winds and rain might start up in Galveston?

Local MET said tomorrow evening....

[BayouVenteux]

Convection is actually decreasing as night falls. Shear is still ripping Ivan apart. Can we honestly say Ivan is back? Will it be an open wave again?

I rest my case.

TROPICAL STORM IVAN UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT WED SEP 23 2004

AN AIR FORCE PLANE IN IVAN JUST MEASURED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AT FLIGHT LEVEL TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. IVAN IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM AND THIS WILL BE REFLECTED IN THE 10 PM CDT...0300Z SCHEDULED ADVISORY.

FORECASTER AVILA

Where'd you find the above update SC? It was not, as is sometimes the case, posted on the TPC/NHC website as of 8:20 p.m. CDT.

[ROCK]

Looking bad is an understatement...But as we all know Ivan could blow up in the next 24hrs if the shear ever lets up....

seems to me Jeanne looked pretty bad at one time with some westerly shear. Anyone have a shear map handy or know what the forecast is. I had heard it was supposed to lessen after 90W.....

[Ivanova]

Looks like we here in Dallas might get some rain
from Ivan... let's hope that's all we get


http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics/AT ... 2313W5.gif


*

[Stratosphere747]

Have to wait for the 10pm discussion...Can't wait to see what they say....D Ortt has it tracking more to La and NE....Joe B. sorta has it stalling in the coastal area and moving WSW....Hard to argue with either one of them..As they know quite a bit more than the majority here do...So as sick as Ivan looks now...The next few days with it should be strange..

[GalvestonDuck]

Anyone want to make an educated guess at when winds and rain might start up in Galveston?

It's windy now and it rained last night. How's that.

Seriously, I'll let y'all know how things are here.

[ROCK]

Anyone want to make an educated guess at when winds and rain might start up in Galveston?

It's windy now and it rained last night. How's that.

Seriously, I'll let y'all know how things are here.

Hey here in Friendswood Duck, whats the winds up too?? I had heard the tide was up over road on the west end is this true? I have a bay house in Sea Isle....thanks