5:00 forecast path

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jjfl
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5:00 forecast path

#1 Postby jjfl » Thu Sep 23, 2004 1:36 pm

ok...so the models have been coming in this afternoon. Does anyone see anything to change to 5:00 forecast path???
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djti

#2 Postby djti » Thu Sep 23, 2004 1:37 pm

yes...i think they will shift to just north of wpb.....theres a strong model consensus for this.
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#3 Postby jjfl » Thu Sep 23, 2004 1:39 pm

so that would actually be shifting the landfall farther south???
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#4 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 23, 2004 1:40 pm

djti wrote:yes...i think they will shift to just north of wpb.....theres a strong model consensus for this.


What consensus are you speaking of? If you look at the 18Z models that just came out there is very very little change to the previous runs. I dont see a major reason for the NHC to shift the track at all. Not when the models are getting into much better agreement slowly.

<RICKY>

http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm
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#5 Postby tallbunch » Thu Sep 23, 2004 1:40 pm

I think they will move the landfall North of what they have it now...
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#6 Postby Jevo » Thu Sep 23, 2004 1:43 pm

tallbunch wrote:I think they will move the landfall North of what they have it now...


I live in Fort Lauderdale and I think they will move the models to me..

I have no basis for this comment but I figure everyone else has t going their way why cant I
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#7 Postby djti » Thu Sep 23, 2004 1:49 pm

yeah..i missed the ukmet shift back east......updated on wunderground recently....now you have nogaps and gfs where im speaking and ukmet north.......about an hour ago ukmet matched up.....my bad....
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