5:00 forecast path

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
jjfl
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 19
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2004 10:51 pm

5:00 forecast path

#1 Postby jjfl » Thu Sep 23, 2004 1:36 pm

ok...so the models have been coming in this afternoon. Does anyone see anything to change to 5:00 forecast path???
0 likes   
Top
djti

#2 Postby djti » Thu Sep 23, 2004 1:37 pm

yes...i think they will shift to just north of wpb.....theres a strong model consensus for this.
0 likes   
Top
jjfl
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 19
Joined: Tue Aug 10, 2004 10:51 pm

#3 Postby jjfl » Thu Sep 23, 2004 1:39 pm

so that would actually be shifting the landfall farther south???
0 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#4 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 23, 2004 1:40 pm

djti wrote:yes...i think they will shift to just north of wpb.....theres a strong model consensus for this.


What consensus are you speaking of? If you look at the 18Z models that just came out there is very very little change to the previous runs. I dont see a major reason for the NHC to shift the track at all. Not when the models are getting into much better agreement slowly.

<RICKY>

http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
tallbunch
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 297
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 12:35 pm
Location: hilton head Island, SC

#5 Postby tallbunch » Thu Sep 23, 2004 1:40 pm

I think they will move the landfall North of what they have it now...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Jevo
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1729
Age: 47
Joined: Tue Aug 03, 2004 8:45 pm
Location: The Flemish Cap
Contact:
Contact Jevo

#6 Postby Jevo » Thu Sep 23, 2004 1:43 pm

tallbunch wrote:I think they will move the landfall North of what they have it now...


I live in Fort Lauderdale and I think they will move the models to me..

I have no basis for this comment but I figure everyone else has t going their way why cant I
0 likes   
Top
djti

#7 Postby djti » Thu Sep 23, 2004 1:49 pm

yeah..i missed the ukmet shift back east......updated on wunderground recently....now you have nogaps and gfs where im speaking and ukmet north.......about an hour ago ukmet matched up.....my bad....
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Hurricane2022 and 46 guests