10pm Ivan-Back to a depression

Website · #1 Postby **Brent** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 9:58 pm

Tropical Depression Ivan Advisory Number 72

Statement as of 10:00 PM CDT on September 23, 2004

...Tropical Depression Ivan moved inland...

at 10 PM CDT...0300z...all warnings have been discontinued.

At 10 PM CDT...0300z...the center of Tropical Depression
Ivan was located inland near latitude 29.8 north...longitude 93.5
west or about 25 miles east-southeast of Port Arthur Texas.

The depression is moving toward the northwest near 8 mph. A slow
turn to the west is expected during the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph... 55 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Weakening is expected.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb...29.59 inches.
Water levels should begin to subside tonight and tomorrow.

Rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches...with isolated higher
amounts...are possible near the path of Ivan.

Isolated tornadoes are possible over southern Louisiana today.

Repeating the 10 PM CDT position...29.8 N... 93.5 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 8 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 35 mph. Minimum central pressure...1002 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
4 am CDT.

Forecaster Avila

Ixolib · #2 Postby **Ixolib** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:01 pm

Wonder when he'll be upgraded to a tropical storm again??

Cape Verde · #3 Postby **Cape Verde** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:07 pm

Well, this is dang good news. I'll have a glass of wine and go to bed.

Ixolib · #4 Postby **Ixolib** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:11 pm

Has it been determined that the other "blob" in the Gulf is nothing?

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_08/anis.html

Stratosphere747 · #5 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:12 pm

Steve Lyons said it was nothing...In fact he mentioned that it was already losing convection as Ivan moved onshore.

MBryant · #6 Postby **MBryant** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:54 pm

I'm in the "eye" right now according to the local Met. I couldn't tell by the weather. We got a little light shower ot two, but doesn't really even make a decent summer afternoon shower. I'd be surprised if we even got an inch of rain. Too Bad.

Chilly_Water · #7 Postby **Chilly_Water** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 10:57 pm

Let's hope "Ivan's Spawn" rots in hell and doesn't go back out to the GOMex and restrengthen...then again, nothing should surprise us.

#8 Postby **Houstonia** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 11:11 pm

... and it looked SO promising there for a while. When my friend and I left my apartment for Chuckie Cheeze Pizza at around 7 pm., there were big black clouds over head. I was sure there would be heavy rain. While we were in the pizza place, the waiter came over to tell our party that we should know that we might get flooded in - because there was a tropical storm.

Now, if you've ever been to a Chuckie Cheese Pizza - it's NOT the kind of place you want to be flooded in for a night!!

But by the time we got back to my apartment at 9:00 - there wasn't a cloud in the sky. just a beautiful starlit night.

Romance: 1
Drought relief: 0

Stratosphere747 · #9 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Thu Sep 23, 2004 11:15 pm

Don't worry Houstonia...It is coming...If Ivan keeps the track as forecasted by the NHC we will get some rain...Some areas may get more than they wished for...

#10 Postby **Canebo** » Fri Sep 24, 2004 8:06 am

Stratosphere747 wrote:Don't worry Houstonia...It is coming...If Ivan keeps the track as forecasted by the NHC we will get some rain...Some areas may get more than they wished for...

Can we worry yet? I guess the 70% chance of rain yesterday didn't quite materialize. It looks like only dry air around Ivan now, except for some rain in LA. Could the mets have been this wrong or is there still a chance for our 10"- 15" of rain that good old Frank Billingsly forecasted for us?

Galvestongirl · #11 Postby **Galvestongirl** » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:10 am

In my honest opinion...it aint gonna rain.

#12 Postby **Canebo** » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:13 am

Galvestongirl wrote:8-) In my honest opinion...it aint gonna rain.

I'm with you on this one. I just put out my sprinklers if that tells you how much confidence I have in our rain chances.

Galvestongirl · #13 Postby **Galvestongirl** » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:15 am

I actually live pretty close to leauge city, the way the news hyped this up, you would have thought it was going to rain buckets...but.....i think they were really secretly saying "NOT"

#14 Postby **Roxy** » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:16 am

Galvestongirl wrote:8-) In my honest opinion...it aint gonna rain.

I agree. Even if it does, it will only be enough to ruin a perfectly good weekend.

Couldn't ask for a more beautiful morning here in Clear Lake.

#15 Postby **Canebo** » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:20 am

Galvestongirl wrote:I actually live pretty close to leauge city, the way the news hyped this up, you would have thought it was going to rain buckets...but.....i think they were really secretly saying "NOT"

Yepper. If you listened to the TV you would be building an ark by now. One channel led off the news yesterday with a big "Trouble from the Tropics" type lead-in with a picture of a beach home laying crumbled on the beach. I guess today they will have to find a new disaster to dream up.
Roxy is probably right, we will get just enough rain(and at the wrong time) to mes up weekend activities.

wabbitoid · #16 Postby **wabbitoid** » Fri Sep 24, 2004 9:35 am

I'm glad Ivan is a Depression, as he was bringing on a bit of Depression in me.

:-)

#17 Postby **Houstonia** » Fri Sep 24, 2004 11:11 am

Honestly I'm even looking at my local radar with scepticism now. I know it's showing no clouds in the Hou/Galv area, but out here in the county, it's getting darker and darker. The clouds look heavy - like major rain is on the way.

But the radar remains clear?!?

*bang bang bang* Houstonia gives her monitor a whack!

#18 Postby **Roxy** » Fri Sep 24, 2004 11:14 am

Houstonia wrote:Honestly I'm even looking at my local radar with scepticism now. I know it's showing no clouds in the Hou/Galv area, but out here in the county, it's getting darker and darker. The clouds look heavy - like major rain is on the way.

But the radar remains clear?!?

*bang bang bang* Houstonia gives her monitor a whack!

I dont see squat either. Odd.

#19 Postby **Canebo** » Fri Sep 24, 2004 11:38 am

Roxy wrote:
Houstonia wrote:Honestly I'm even looking at my local radar with scepticism now. I know it's showing no clouds in the Hou/Galv area, but out here in the county, it's getting darker and darker. The clouds look heavy - like major rain is on the way.

But the radar remains clear?!?

*bang bang bang* Houstonia gives her monitor a whack!

I dont see squat either. Odd.

Squat x2 here in League City. The clouds are a bit darker than yesterday, so that is something guess. They took down the flood warnings for our area , what a shock. :eek:

Maybe the 80% chance was for clouds and not rain. The artist formerly known as Ivan seems to be stalled, or creeping north still. It doesn't look good for our rain chances at all this weekend. :grr:

#20 Postby **crazycajuncane** » Fri Sep 24, 2004 11:40 am

Well, if anything I think we've seen more rain in Lafayette today than there was yesterday.

I actually heard that chick in Fox News talk about it going back into the gulf and one of my teachers said the same thing this morning. You've got to be kidding me.

10pm Ivan-Back to a depression

10pm Ivan-Back to a depression

do my eyes deceive me?

Re: do my eyes deceive me?

Re: do my eyes deceive me?

Who is online