4:30 PM Jeanne update....intensifying and Florida bound!

[SouthernWx]

Jeanne is moving faster toward the west this afternoon, and reconnisance aircraft indicates the hurricane has began deepening as it moves over warmer waters and underneath a high pressure ridge to the north.

I expect Jeanne to become a major hurricane before reaching Great Abaco Island, and maintain category 3 status at Florida landfall....which I'm currently projecting in the Jupiter to Stuart area. Please bear in mind Jeanne has a large eye, and thus hurricane conditions will likely be felt from Palm Beach county northward to the Melbourne area.

Also, while I'm currently forecasting 110 kts (125 mph) at time of Florida landfall....if the dry air is mixed out more quickly than I anticipate, rapid deepening is possible before landfall, and Jeanne could be even more intense than my forecast. A landfalling category 4 hurricane isn't out of the question (115-125 kts/ 135-145 mph).

Currently:
4 p.m. EDT FRI SEP 24, 2004
lat. 26.4 N - long. 73.4 W....85 kt (965 mb/ 28.50")


Forecast

+12 hr...26.5 N - 75.2 W...95 kt
(nearing the NW Bahamas)

+24 hr...26.8 N - 77.5 W...105 kt
(over Great Abaco Island, Bahamas)


+36 hr...27.0 N - 79.9 W...110 kt
(landfall near Jupiter, Florida)


+48 hr...28.1 N - 81.9 W...80 kt
(inland near Lakeland, Florida)


+60 hr...30.5 N - 82.5 W...60 kt
(inland near Lake City, Florida)


+72 hr...33.2 N - 81.8 W...45 kt
(inland just SE of Augusta, Georgia)


+96 hr...38.5 N - 74.5 W...45 kt
(near Ocean City, Maryland)


+120 hr..44.5 N - 62.5 W...45 kt
(becoming extratropical near the south coast of Nova Scotia)

[Josephine96]

A Category 4 would not be too cool

[HurricaneGirl]

[tronbunny]

No, No, NO, NO NO!
Don't like forecast.

sorry, just reaching for the Xanax

[Josephine96]

I want to issue another 1.. But the college is about to close lol {darn I wish I had a laptop lol}

Anyway.. I'll try to get to the library early tomorrow.. {assuming it's open} and give another write up..