Is now when south storms come our way?? carribean?

#1 Postby **Noah** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 12:40 pm

like from the carribean??

Website · #2 Postby **Brent** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 12:41 pm

Yep... Florida is more likely to be hit in October than any other month.

#3 Postby **Noah** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 12:45 pm

is anything brewing there now?

CourierPR · #4 Postby **CourierPR** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 12:48 pm

The NOGAPS model shows development in SW Caribbean late week moving into NW Caribbean.

#5 Postby **Noah** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 12:52 pm

CourierPR wrote:The NOGAPS model shows development in SW Caribbean late week moving into NW Caribbean.

link me please?

Lindaloo · #6 Postby **Lindaloo** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 1:15 pm

http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/nog ... =Animation

bucman1 · #7 Postby **bucman1** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 1:28 pm

actually Noah, this time of yaer is usally when storms come from the carribean and gulf and have a tendency to get pushed north and northeast as the cold fronts (troughs) start heading further south.

This is in my opinion except for this year why on the west coast of florida
that October is one of the scarier months for Florida. :eek:

#8 Postby **Noah** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 1:34 pm

Lindaloo wrote:http://bricker.met.psu.edu/trop-cgi/nogapstc2.cgi?time=2004092612&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

i dont know how to read that map.... :oops:

ColdFront77 · #9 Postby **ColdFront77** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 1:39 pm

bucman1 wrote:actually Noah, this time of yaer is usally when storms come from the carribean and gulf and have a tendency to get pushed north and northeast as the cold fronts (troughs) start heading further south.

Cold fronts have more potential of making their way into the Gulf of Mexico this time of year. They slow down which leads to potential low pressure development. The longer these features stay over the warm waters of the Gulf, the more of a chance tropical cyclongensis will occur.

#10 Postby **dhweather** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 1:42 pm

In the last two months of the season, The Gulf of Mexico and Carribean are the spots most likely for development. Just as they are for early in the season.

Typically, the westerlies get stonger at lower latitudes (fronts/troughs dig further south) and send the systems off to the NE.

I don't know what 2004 holds for us for the last two months of the season, but I hope it's nothing!

#11 Postby **tronbunny** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 1:57 pm

Brent wrote:Yep... Florida is more likely to be hit in October than any other month.

thank goodness that september's almost over, so we have a reduced chance for another major..
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/paststate.html

Guest · #12 Postby **Guest** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 2:09 pm

Noah...Get your ark!!

October is not going to be pretty.

cape_escape · #13 Postby **cape_escape** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 7:26 pm

Are the storms that do form that late more likely to be weaker? I hope!

Guest · #14 Postby **Guest** » Mon Sep 27, 2004 10:02 pm

cape_escape wrote:Are the storms that do form that late more likely to be weaker? I hope!

Not really there have been some doozies in October including Mitch which was a CAT 5.

There was even a CAT 4 which hit Cuba in Nov a few years ago.

Is now when south storms come our way?? carribean?

Is now when south storms come our way?? carribean?

well..

thankas..

ikes

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