Looks like a warm end to October...

aggiecutter · #1 Postby **aggiecutter** » Sat Oct 16, 2004 6:51 pm

EURO and GFS ENSEMBLES are in good agreement.

http://vortex.plymouth.edu/cgi-bin/gen_ ... &cu=latest

http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/images/ens/ ... 68_us.html

TS Zack · #2 Postby **TS Zack** » Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:10 pm

Yes well atleast in the Central and Eastern United States. A ridge will be persistent over the Eastern US and will not allow any big troughs to drop South. A shortwave will come into the Central United States Tuesday that won't do much but maybe a bigger trough next weekend will. Right now that trough doesn't look to strong either.

Fall has to wait awhile.

Opal storm · #3 Postby **Opal storm** » Sun Oct 17, 2004 3:15 pm

I'm dying for some cooler weather.I heard it was going to be a below average winter this year.

Can't wait!

Wnghs2007 · #4 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:30 pm

Opal storm wrote::crying: I'm dying for some cooler weather.I heard it was going to be a below average winter this year. Can't wait!

Niether can I.

Wacahootaman · #5 Postby **Wacahootaman** » Mon Oct 18, 2004 6:50 am

Me too,

I got the firewood stacked and split and the kindling all ready.

Cant wait to fire up my wood stove!

nystate · #6 Postby **nystate** » Mon Oct 18, 2004 7:52 am

Warm fall=warmer lakes, which can mean a better Lake-Effect snow season if things work out right.

Wnghs2007 · #7 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Mon Oct 18, 2004 10:55 am

Well maybe there is light in the tunnel after all. The patter could make for a cold winter down the pipe.

Sean in New Orleans · #8 Postby **Sean in New Orleans** » Mon Oct 18, 2004 12:20 pm

The next 10 days look very warm for Metropolitan New Orleans...we'll be flirting with record highs and some spots could see 90F towards middle to end of this week...

#9 Postby **CaptinCrunch** » Mon Oct 18, 2004 12:43 pm

A warm to hot week followed by sever weather for the central U.S. The warm wx will push north all the way to the great lakes area and east by mid week, with a storm system pushing down the west coast and expected to move east across the southern states will meet up with the warm moist troptical jet stream and cause sever weather from central Tx to the Ohio river valley out ahead of the cold front and low presure system by the coming weekend. High's are expected to reach the upper 80's to lower 90's in Texas and parts of OK, with mid to lower 80's and upper 70's from OK northward.

Wnghs2007 · #10 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Mon Oct 18, 2004 2:02 pm

CaptinCrunch wrote:A warm to hot week followed by sever weather for the central U.S. The warm wx will push north all the way to the great lakes area and east by mid week, with a storm system pushing down the west coast and expected to move east across the southern states will meet up with the warm moist troptical jet stream and cause sever weather from central Tx to the Ohio river valley out ahead of the cold front and low presure system by the coming weekend. High's are expected to reach the upper 80's to lower 90's in Texas and parts of OK, with mid to lower 80's and upper 70's from OK northward.

Wow. Thanks Captin. You are doing a great job with these forecasts

yoda · #11 Postby **yoda** » Mon Oct 18, 2004 2:09 pm

Yes he does...

Wnghs2007 · #12 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Mon Oct 18, 2004 2:14 pm

yoda wrote:Yes he does...

So Yoda. Have you ever ....well done any forecasts?

yoda · #13 Postby **yoda** » Mon Oct 18, 2004 2:15 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:
yoda wrote:Yes he does...

So Yoda. Have you ever ....well done any forecasts?

Yes, I have. In fact, I am still working on my winter forecast.

Wnghs2007 · #14 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Mon Oct 18, 2004 2:17 pm

yoda wrote:
Wnghs2007 wrote:
yoda wrote:Yes he does...

So Yoda. Have you ever ....well done any forecasts?

Yes, I have. In fact, I am still working on my winter forecast.

Cool I cant wait to see it

yoda · #15 Postby **yoda** » Mon Oct 18, 2004 2:19 pm

Wnghs2007 wrote:
yoda wrote:
Wnghs2007 wrote:
yoda wrote:Yes he does...

So Yoda. Have you ever ....well done any forecasts?

Yes, I have. In fact, I am still working on my winter forecast.

Cool I cant wait to see it

Hopefully I can have it out in about a week... I have to give some props to DT, Don, Usawx1 and a few others on here because I am using a few of their thoughts on El Nino and the WAR, and a few other things I didn't understand till now...

Wnghs2007 · #16 Postby **Wnghs2007** » Mon Oct 18, 2004 2:21 pm

yoda wrote:
Wnghs2007 wrote:
yoda wrote:
Wnghs2007 wrote:
yoda wrote:Yes he does...

So Yoda. Have you ever ....well done any forecasts?

Yes, I have. In fact, I am still working on my winter forecast.

Cool I cant wait to see it

Hopefully I can have it out in about a week... I have to give some props to DT, Don, Usawx1 and a few others on here because I am using a few of their thoughts on El Nino and the WAR, and a few other things I didn't understand till now...

Arent they just the greatest. They have great forecasts. And Im sure 1 day so will you.

frankthetank · #17 Postby **frankthetank** » Mon Oct 18, 2004 10:44 pm

ill take some of that heat... haven't broken 60F since a week or so... I love fall weather, but the sun hasn't made an appearance in a few days... Can't wait to go use the new digicam to take some foilage pics...

#18 Postby **wxguy25** » Mon Oct 18, 2004 10:53 pm

yoda wrote:Hopefully I can have it out in about a week... I have to give some props to DT, Don, Usawx1 and a few others on here because I am using a few of their thoughts on El Nino and the WAR, and a few other things I didn't understand till now...

Thanks, Yoda. I'll be looking forward to seeing your thoughts on the winter.

BTW...when your making your winter forecast, keep an eye on the trend in the SSTA configuration over the North and Northeast pacific, it will give you clues as to how the pattern will evolve into december. the rest you already know.

yoda · #19 Postby **yoda** » Tue Oct 19, 2004 12:34 am

wxguy25 wrote:
yoda wrote:Hopefully I can have it out in about a week... I have to give some props to DT, Don, Usawx1 and a few others on here because I am using a few of their thoughts on El Nino and the WAR, and a few other things I didn't understand till now...

Thanks, Yoda. I'll be looking forward to seeing your thoughts on the winter.

BTW...when your making your winter forecast, keep an eye on the trend in the SSTA configuration over the North and Northeast pacific, it will give you clues as to how the pattern will evolve into december. the rest you already know.

Right....

And what is that again? I hadn't thought of that.. I don't even know what that is... :lol:

Could you explain it to me please? Thanks!

Guest · #20 Postby **Guest** » Tue Oct 19, 2004 4:35 am

nystate wrote:Warm fall=warmer lakes, which can mean a better Lake-Effect snow season if things work out right.

And thats exactly what i am hoping for now that i am in a area more proned to getting lake effect. And as of right now things are looking good till atleast Halloween perhaps.A few If's but we will see. The trough looks to wanna hang out in the west But the nao may wanna counteract that some. We will see. Temps should atleast remain near normal thru Halloween in these parts anyways. The true cold air can wait till mid Nov when it will count most. Till then i dont want it.

Looks like a warm end to October...

Looks like a warm end to October...

Re: Looks like a warm end to October...

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