AccuWeather Releases its 2004-2005 Winter Outlook

Winter Weather Discussion

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yoda
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#21 Postby yoda » Tue Oct 26, 2004 11:16 pm

wxguy25 wrote:link to drudge report requested....


http://www.drudgereport.com

Click on this... its on the top of the page... "Winter Storm Predicted to hit Bible belt on Election Day... Developing... "

Gives you this: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _150.shtml
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#22 Postby wxguy25 » Tue Oct 26, 2004 11:21 pm

yoda wrote:
wxguy25 wrote:link to drudge report requested....


http://www.drudgereport.com

Click on this... its on the top of the page... "Winter Storm Predicted to hit Bible belt on Election Day... Developing... "

Gives you this: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _150.shtml


just a bunch of drudge bunk, nothing but a normal late fall event w/ severe wx ahead of the front and some snow to end on the backside of the Surface low. and its the GFS :roll:
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#23 Postby yoda » Tue Oct 26, 2004 11:38 pm

wxguy25 wrote:
yoda wrote:
wxguy25 wrote:link to drudge report requested....


http://www.drudgereport.com

Click on this... its on the top of the page... "Winter Storm Predicted to hit Bible belt on Election Day... Developing... "

Gives you this: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _150.shtml


just a bunch of drudge bunk, nothing but a normal late fall event w/ severe wx ahead of the front and some snow to end on the backside of the Surface low. and its the GFS :roll:


Yeah, I know its the GFS... winter storm my butt is what I said. All I see is the potential for maybe a quick inch, which would quickly be gone.
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#24 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Oct 27, 2004 10:58 am

wxguy25 wrote:it's not just about the GOM season. Try looking at this season's Atlantic Activity in relationship to the East pacific activity, then after your done with that, drop the seasons that were la nina and neutral seasons, and look just at the El Nino years. once you have the El Nino years isolated dump the seasons where the PDO was in the long term warm phase and you should see something interesting in the h500 means for the following winter. Look over the North Atlantic.


I'm looking more into the "lack" of tropical activity and formations in the GOM (especially the W GOM) ... and undisturbed waters ... which, also in the current torrid indian summer pattern that has continued in the Southern Plains, add more fuel to the fire for SFC lows to form (given when the pattern supports it) in the W GOM ...

What's been a little strange (and a bit irritating weatherwise here) is this stubborn wedge-like scenario here that's stuck for the last 5 days or so ... cloudy all morning, some breaks in the afternoon, but quickly redevelops in just a couple of hours ...

SF
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#25 Postby gboudx » Wed Oct 27, 2004 12:34 pm

Link is http://www.drudgereport.com. But there is only 1 story on there right now. They have gone into high alert mode due to a story that ABC News has a videotape which a member of al Qaeda suggests a new terror attack on the USA that will dwarf 9/11.
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#26 Postby breeze » Wed Oct 27, 2004 8:09 pm

Alright, darnit! Are ya'll telling me to buy a
thicker coat for this winter? :eek: ;)
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#27 Postby wxguy25 » Wed Oct 27, 2004 9:09 pm

breeze wrote:Alright, darnit! Are ya'll telling me to buy a
thicker coat for this winter? :eek: ;)


And a snow shovel if possible :D LOL
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#28 Postby Anonymous » Wed Oct 27, 2004 9:57 pm

WOW, sounds as though the MA/NE may stand a good chance of enjoying a lot of snow and severe cold this upcoming winter.

Thanks to my 9.2 mile jebwalk on the Texas coast this past August I now know I can walk MUCH farther than I ever realized. Recent jebwalks have averaged 6+ miles in a day. Boy am I EVER gonna be ready for my snow jebwalks this winter!!!

If we get the snow, I will be enjoying very long snowy jebwalks!! :) Plus, I will be out there digging snow!!!! :)

All I can say is, BRING IT!!!!
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#29 Postby wxguy25 » Wed Oct 27, 2004 10:05 pm

read the winter outlook, JEB

http://www.storm2k.org/wxguy25.html
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#30 Postby donsutherland1 » Wed Oct 27, 2004 10:15 pm

Great discussion, Wxguy25. I'm sorry I missed it earlier as this week has been extremely hectic for me.

Best wishes.
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#31 Postby wxguy25 » Wed Oct 27, 2004 10:25 pm

donsutherland1 wrote:Great discussion, Wxguy25. I'm sorry I missed it earlier as this week has been extremely hectic for me.

Best wishes.


I understand, and thanks for the kind words. The discussion finally made its way online tonight, but back dated since I finished it on OCT 18 and never had a chance to change the date on it. So you didn't miss anything.
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#32 Postby thstorm87 » Thu Oct 28, 2004 9:03 am

I heard that sunspots are at their highest levels in over 8000 years. Will this have a major impact on the coming winter?
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#33 Postby Stormsfury » Thu Oct 28, 2004 10:49 am

thstorm87 wrote:I heard that sunspots are at their highest levels in over 8000 years. Will this have a major impact on the coming winter?


Right now, sunspot activity is about as dormant as it gets ... very quiet. 10.7cm solar flux right now is nearing its minimum, so that has more of a bearing in the SR this upcoming winter ...

SF
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#34 Postby thstorm87 » Thu Oct 28, 2004 11:10 am

well thats definatley good to hear, so why did they issue that report all of a sudden?
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