AAUUUGGGHHHH!

[azsnowman]

Well, here we GO AGAIN!!!! I CANNOT believe this, I am sooooo ready for SPRING!

AFDFLG

NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
935 AM MST TUE APR 8 2003

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES TO THE SOUTHWEST FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. A PACIFIC STORM
SYSTEM WILL APPROACH ARIZONA OVER THE WEEKEND RESULTING IN MUCH
COOLER TEMPERATURES...BREEZY WINDS...AND A CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW
BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

.DISCUSSION...RIDGE OVER THE AREA FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. EASTERLY
WINDS STILL GOING UNDER THE RIDGE...ALTHOUGH THE COLD AIR HAS NEARLY
ERODED. DO NOT EXPECT THE EAST WINDS TO MAKE IT MUCH LONGER THAN
THIS EVENING. WARMER TEMPERATURES AND SUNNY SKIES ON TAP FOR
TODAY...NO UPDATES ARE NEEDED. PETERSON.


More SNOW?!?!?!? I know we need it but COME ON!! :o

:o Dennis :o

[Guest]

Continuing saga on Dennis's neverending WINTER....

Hope you get your Spring soon Dennis.

PMH

[mf_dolphin]

Do you still have your rocks? You might want to put them back in your pockets and add a pair of skis to the wardrobe Spring will come soon! (at least I think it will)

[southerngale]

I'd trade you in a heartbeat...some of your snow for some of our rain.

[azsnowman]

Ya know, I don't mind the snow and rain, we so desperatly need it, it's the COLD I'm getting tired of and to top it off, ALL of my fruit trees are almost in full blossom, it's been so long since I've had a decent crop of apples, peaches and pears. AH WELL, could be worse I guess!

Dennis

[Lindaloo]

Do you still have your rocks? You might want to put them back in your pockets and add a pair of skis to the wardrobe Spring will come soon! (at least I think it will)

Never going to let him live that down huh?

[JQ Public]

its been in the 40's in raleigh for two days straight! the dogwoods are blooming...the pollen is everywhere and its 40!!! I hope your spring starts up again. How many times have you had the beginning of spring dennis? Seems like 5-6 times lol!

[nystate]

I miss the dogwoods! I lived in Fayetteville for a few years and it really can't compare to up here.
We have had on and off moderate to heavy snow today, but little or no accumulation. When will spring come??

[Aslkahuna]

This yo-yo type of weather is typical of Spring in the US and especially the High Country. In fact, in the Wasatch and Northern Sierra April is when the snowpack usually reaches its peak depth. Be glad you going to get wet-down here Spring is a disagreeable mishmash of up and down temperatures and dry WIND (especially in May and early June).

Steve

[JQ Public]

I miss the dogwoods! I lived in Fayetteville for a few years and it really can't compare to up here.
We have had on and off moderate to heavy snow today, but little or no accumulation. When will spring come??

lol i believe there are dogwoods in your general area. There is this canadian peninsula that sticks into the us and separates lakes michigan, ontario and erie. Over there they have what is called a carolinian forest. I believe there are many dogwoods over there. Oh well. it does look beautiful here though especially combined with the azaleas

[Stormsfury]

If the GFS thickness scheme verifies ... there's a possibility of a few flakes of snow in Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, and Virginia in 2-3 days... :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o :o

[Amanzi]

Sorry to hear about the cold and snow AGAIN Dennis. Your welcome to come hang out with me down in FL it has been upper to middle 80's for a while now. Hang in there buddy you will get your spring...next year maybe, but it will come

[Aslkahuna]

he IS getting his Spring since the variability is normal here in the Spring. Spring is closed ULL season here which means a great deal of mixed up weather. Heck, I saw it snow at Dugway UT in JUNE and it can still snow in May in the Whites since I know it can do so down here (have video to prove it). The thing is that by mid May Nature turns the oven on and sets it to HIGH by June though Snow is up high enough that he doesn't have to worry about what 115F in the shade feels like (nor do I though we do hit 100F and a bit higher each year before the monsoon starts).

Steve

[azsnowman]

Your right Steve, this is SO normal for us, it's just been so dang long since things have been normal around here, that I tend to forget what NORMAL is. AH WELL, I'll be sniveling about the heat soon enough, better enjoy this *cool* spell while it lasts.

Dennis

[weatherlover427]

I have a feeling this will be a hot summer ... it hit 92 here today. :o

[azsnowman]

I love THIS AFD especially the last sentence!

Dennis

.DISCUSSION...HIGH AMPLITUDE RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE WEST FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS BRINGING WARMER TEMPS...MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...AND A
GENERAL DECREASE IN WINDS. SFC HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE HIGH PLAINS
AND GREAT BASIN WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TODAY SO THAT THE WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO VEER FROM EASTERLY TO A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. THIS
PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE PAST TWO DAYS HAS HELPED TO RETARD
THE WARMUP BUT WITH THE VEERING WINDS TEMPS WILL FINALLY CLIMB
UPWARD TO MATCH THE HGHT/THICKNESS FIELD PRESENT OVER THE SW. MODELS
HAVE BEEN CONSISTENT BRINGING A WEAK S/W TROUGH THROUGH THE RIDGE ON
THURSDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS AND IN
ITS WAKE ON FRIDAY WILL DROP AFTERNOON TEMPS A FEW DEGREES.

.EXTENDED...STRONG EPAC TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE COAST BY THE END OF
THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. MODELS HAVE BEEN SLOWING DOWN THE
APPROACH OF THIS SYSTEM AND THERE ARE STILL SOME DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
THE GFS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS...WITH THE GFS TRENDING TOWARDS THE
ECMWF. EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE AS EARLY AS FRIDAY...BECOMING BREEZY
OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. GFS INDICATES
THAT THERE COULD BE SOME SHOWERS WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE MAIN PORTION
OF THE STORM SO WILL CONTINUE WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS ON SUNDAY.
MAIN SYSTEM APPROACHES ON MONDAY AND THEN LINGERS INTO TUESDAY.
STILL TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT TIMING...TRACK...AND
INTENSITY OF THIS STORM BUT THERE REMAINS THE POSSIBILITY THAT IT
COULD PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF PRECIP ACROSS PORTIONS OF AZ.
STAY TUNED. DB

[azsnowman]

Well, we had 2 days in a row with NO WIND, I knew it was too good to be true *sigh*

FLUS45 KFGZ 121358
HWOFGZ
AZZ004>018-037>040-130200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ

700 AM MST SAT APR 12 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CAUSE SOUTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. WIND GUSTS WILL APPROACH 40 MPH AT TIMES MONDAY
AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE
REGION MONDAY NIGHT...BRINGING A PERIOD OF RAIN AND SNOW TO MOST
AREAS. SOME ACCUMULATIONS MAY OCCUR ABOVE 6000 FEET MONDAY NIGHT.
MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT TUESDAY...ALTHOUGH
PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO BREAK UP UP BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

[azsnowman]

LOL! Look at this, snow for NEXT weekend too!

Hazardous Weather Outlook



WHITE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING...SHOW LOW...GREER...PINETOP


NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ

330 PM MST SAT APR 12 2003




TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY... LIGHT WIND... LOWS FROM NEAR 26 ABOVE 7000 FEET TO NEAR 37 BELOW 5000 FEET.
SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN CLEARING... SOUTHWEST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH. HIGHS FROM NEAR 55 ABOVE 7000 FEET TO NEAR 67 BELOW 5000 FEET.
SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR... LIGHT WIND... LOWS FROM NEAR 28 ABOVE 7000 FEET TO NEAR 40 BELOW 5000 FEET.
MONDAY...WINDY... MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS FROM NEAR 48 ABOVE 7000 FEET TO NEAR 62 BELOW 5000 FEET.
MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY... SNOW LIKELY... CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT. LOWS FROM NEAR 22 ABOVE 7000 FEET TO NEAR 35 BELOW 5000 FEET.
TUESDAY...BREEZY... MOSTLY CLOUDY... CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW... CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. HIGHS FROM NEAR 41 ABOVE 7000 FEET TO NEAR 54 BELOW 5000 FEET.
WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY... LOWS FROM NEAR 17 ABOVE 7000 FEET TO NEAR 29 BELOW 5000 FEET. HIGHS FROM NEAR 49 ABOVE 7000 FEET TO NEAR 61 BELOW 5000 FEET.
THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY... LOWS FROM NEAR 20 ABOVE 7000 FEET TO NEAR 32 BELOW 5000 FEET. HIGHS FROM NEAR 50 ABOVE 7000 FEET TO NEAR 62 BELOW 5000 FEET.
FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY... CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW... LOWS FROM NEAR 22 ABOVE 7000 FEET TO NEAR 35 BELOW 5000 FEET. HIGHS FROM NEAR 44 ABOVE 7000 FEET TO NEAR 56 BELOW 5000 FEET.
SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY... CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW... LOWS FROM NEAR 21 ABOVE 7000 FEET TO NEAR 33 BELOW 5000 FEET. HIGHS FROM NEAR 49 ABOVE 7000 FEET TO NEAR 61 BELOW 5000 FEET. =

[weatherlover427]

Nice forecast Dennis!

[azsnowman]

"HELP.....I CAN'T SEE!" This is NUTZ, I am in *TOTAL WHITE OUT* conditions, had ONE HELL of a thinderstorm around 0145 this morning that rattled me outta bed, made the dogs nervous and NOW this????????


NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
315 AM MST TUE APR 15 2003

.SYNOPSIS...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE THIS MORNING.
THIS WILL BRING VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW TO NORTHERN ARIZONA
THROUGH NOON TIME...THEN SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH QUICKLY OVER THE
AREA. WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER EAST CENTRAL AND AND
NORTHEAST SECTIONS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...ALONG WITH STEADY OR
SLOWLY FALLING TEMPERATURES. FAIR AND WARMER WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM IS EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

.DISCUSSION...STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
THIS MORNING. OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT LOOK FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN
THE ADVISORY RANGE OVER EAST CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST SECTIONS OF THE
STATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. THERE IS A SNOW ADVISORY OUT
FOR THE KAIBAB PLATEAU SOUTHEAST TO THE WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM,
THROUGH NOON TODAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL SWING RAPIDLY NORTHEAST TODAY
WITH THE PRECIP ENDING FAIRLY QUICKLY DURING THE AFTERNOON.