Desert Lightning Parker AZ 11-20-04

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riverratmike
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Desert Lightning Parker AZ 11-20-04

#1 Postby riverratmike » Sun Nov 21, 2004 5:48 pm

just wanted to share this image that I took. was very surprised to see lightning with this Pacific storm. It was going off last night Image
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Tornado_Chaser2005

#2 Postby Tornado_Chaser2005 » Sun Nov 21, 2004 6:11 pm

Yup, we had lightning here as well. IT was going off like crazy!!:), anyway, great pictures. looks like models are hinting at another similar cold advection system coming in next weekend!
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Tornado_Chaser2005

#3 Postby Tornado_Chaser2005 » Sun Nov 21, 2004 6:18 pm

YOu also better watch out there in Havasu. The 850mb Temperature Model on the gfs is showing below 0 degrees celsius. Its all in a bubble of cold air, man was it cold. its what i had this morning, and you get it after 10pm tonight. have fun with it, it was freezing!
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#4 Postby riverratmike » Sun Nov 21, 2004 7:45 pm

it's been quite cold here this evening 46F right now but no thunderstorms yet to be seen. Anyone have any idea if Havasu will get the ULL this evening? I want to take more photos!
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#5 Postby Tornado_Chaser2005 » Sun Nov 21, 2004 8:57 pm

im gonna press on and say, You have a chance at seeing the storms, with the low passage. Keep your eye out;)
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#6 Postby JuliannaMKH » Sun Nov 21, 2004 9:50 pm

That's an awesome pic.
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#7 Postby riverratmike » Sun Nov 21, 2004 10:50 pm

JuliannaMKH wrote:That's an awesome pic.


Thanks
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#8 Postby riverratmike » Tue Nov 23, 2004 2:39 am

well the lightning/ULL never happened.
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#9 Postby weatherlover427 » Tue Nov 23, 2004 3:19 am

It's cccooolllddd here tonight. Just passed midnight local time and it's already down to 44 degrees out. Brrrrrrr. :eek:
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Tornado_Chaser2005

#10 Postby Tornado_Chaser2005 » Tue Nov 23, 2004 8:41 am

hehe I said Chance;) Anyway, the models showed the UUL moving well south of you to spark the dynmaics needed for more tstorms. watch out for this weekend though, tis gonna be a doozy
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#11 Postby riverratmike » Wed Nov 24, 2004 2:23 am

oh yeah this weekend uh? so what's going to happen for the Lake Havasu City area? I'm dieing to know
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Tornado_Chaser2005

#12 Postby Tornado_Chaser2005 » Wed Nov 24, 2004 8:21 am

Lake Havasu, always sees storms, lol, no matter what winter or summer system goes through, you always see them around there. anyway, I will start off by saying that thunderstorms will be likely this weekend in Lake Havasu, mostly saturday evening, and sunday morning, around that timeframe. As the system gets closer, and my models kick in, I will introduce more analysis. By the way. I am close friends with the Meteorologist In Charge at the Ontario Weather Service, not affiliated with NWS, but he and his team have a winter storm tracking map man. This map will update as the system nears, and you will see the storm track. Also, the system will be called Winter Storm Alex

http://www.powow.com/wirt/wstm.html
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#13 Postby Goofzilla » Wed Nov 24, 2004 10:25 am

Awsome!

I love that pic, very nice lightning.
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#14 Postby CaptinCrunch » Wed Nov 24, 2004 10:51 am

Very awesome pic indeed! :)
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#15 Postby riverratmike » Wed Nov 24, 2004 11:49 am

thanks guys, we'll haven't heard a thing on the extended weather forcast for any storms this weekend in Havasu. But thanks for your outlook. I'll just have to wait and see what happens
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#16 Postby Aslkahuna » Wed Nov 24, 2004 3:41 pm

The thunderstorms with the ULL passage were down in my area with Douglas, FHU, Tucson and Nogales all reporting thunder and we had thunder here at the house. They were daytime storms though.

Steve
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Tornado_Chaser2005

#17 Postby Tornado_Chaser2005 » Wed Nov 24, 2004 10:59 pm

Rivermike, If you want to see and read weather models, you can learn them very easily. I however use my own, and these, and blend them for a solution. But go here
http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/

Best weather models, and color coded for GFS AVN RUC, etc. To see storm systems, go to 500vort model. The more vort the better chance of rain or tstorms. This model shows upward air motion. You use this to spot incoming low pressure systems. Look between hr 85 and 104, that is the next system coming for the weekend! also look at 500T model. That model shows your "Cold Air Aloft", you hear on the news and radio alot. Well hope that helps, you can learn those easily.
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