Very cold air coming? 12z Euro.........

[BL03]

Below 0 for parts of NE!?



haven't heard anyone today talk about how cold the 12z Euro is for this Tuesday! Esp the Northeast! srry if was mentioned.




00z Euro


12z Euro



NYC -22 BOS -23


12z Eta Agrees.........

Code: Select all

  Station ID: KNYC Lat:   40.78 Long:  -73.96                                                       
 ETA Model Run: 12Z JAN 14, 2005                                                                                           
                                                                                                                           
 Forecast Hours:    0hr    6hr   12hr   18hr   24hr   30hr   36hr   42hr   48hr   54hr   60hr   66hr   72hr   78hr   84hr   
 Sfc Prs(mb):     999.9 1010.1 1015.8 1024.3 1027.6 1029.1 1028.4 1026.8 1025.1 1021.2 1017.6 1014.7 1016.0 1016.1 1019.5   
 Mean SLP (mb):  1009.9 1020.7 1026.4 1034.5 1038.5 1039.9 1039.3 1037.8 1036.2 1031.7 1028.4 1025.1 1026.4 1026.9 1030.6   
 2m agl Tmp (F):   51.7   39.0   35.8   29.9   28.0   33.2   30.8   30.4   29.5   35.7   32.6   31.1   23.8   24.6   21.0   
 2m agl Dewpt(F):  50.4   34.6   26.7   22.0   20.3   18.6   21.6   24.4   25.2   26.8   28.6   28.2   18.0   11.0    8.2   
 2m agl RH (%):      95     84     69     72     73     54     68     78     84     70     85     89     78     56     57   

                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                           
 850mb GPH (m):    1447   1471   1501   1548   1570   1586   1587   1572   1558   1528   1500   1469   1455   1450   1472   
 850mb Temp (C):   10.1    1.0   -1.5   -3.2   -6.6   -8.0   -6.4   -8.0   -8.2   -7.7   -9.5  -11.4  -15.0  -18.4  -19.3 

WOw things are changing fast!

[BL03]

Also -NAO is showing on Euro with a possible significant storm forming (Clipper) that COULD become 50/50 low and increase chances of SECS for NE JAN 22-26...........NOT only is the chance increased BUT it could be the best chance so far for a SECS in the urban NE (I-95) .......*IF 50/50 low is formed and the NAO is negative than this will not go out to sea like BIG DEC storm! Remember!

Now remember its just model ANALSYIS and what could happen! It could be just opposite but hope not.

Wxguy's outlook could be a winner. Lets hope!

[wxguy25]

Also -NAO is showing on Euro with a possible significant storm forming (Clipper) that COULD become 50/50 low and increase chances of SECS for NE JAN 22-26...........NOT only is the chance increased BUT it could be the best chance so far for a SECS in the urban NE (I-95) .......*IF 50/50 low is formed and the NAO is negative than this will not go out to sea like BIG DEC storm! Remember!

Now remember its just model ANALSYIS and what could happen! It could be just opposite but hope not.

Wxguy's outlook could be a winner. Lets hope!

The two most common ways for a 50-50 low to develop are A) System bombs out northeastward into SE Canada, stalls out and deepens. Or B) downstream blocking forces a clipper to deepen and stall. The third way is the PV sliding into the 50-50 low position.

its the event D7 which I'm looking at to become the new 50-50 low and send the NAO negative.

[BL03]

its the event D7 which I'm looking at to become the new 50-50 low and send the NAO negative.

Yes me too........

[Anonymous]

Would this increase snow threat for Philadelphia?

[Stormsfury]

Would this increase snow threat for Philadelphia?

It would increase the chances for many snow-starved locations in the east, including PHL...

[Brent]

WOW...

I'll be in Gatlinburg(TN Smokies) Next Saturday the 22nd through Tuesday the 25th, and I'm hoping for snow while I'm there. It looks cold at least.

[Anonymous]

If the GFS agreeing on this potential snow for east? Will the cold air be in place?

[Chris the Weather Man]

Yes, the cold air will hold...... Now take it easy with the questions...

[Wnghs2007]

Question for you wxguy25....how is the situation with the Atl Tripole Possibility going, if you have time thanks

[Anonymous]

Yes, the cold air will hold...... Now tak it easy with the questions...

Chris, I can ask all the questions i want. This is forum where people are supposed to ask questions. Leave me alone and mind ur own buisness!

[Chris the Weather Man]

Yes, the cold air will hold...... Now tak it easy with the questions...

Chris, I can ask all the questions i want. This is forum where people are supposed to ask questions. Leave me alone and mind ur own buisness!

Yes, I know that. But Don't ask questions about snow when its 7-10 days out... I mean, just take it easy on the snow questions, ok? That's all I meant, and sorry if I bothered you.

[Scorpion]

Wow! This time the cold makes it down here!

[Chris the Weather Man]

Eh, I would not call this Cold.... Oh wait, yes it is....... But not -45F Cold..

[Anonymous]

Yes, the cold air will hold...... Now tak it easy with the questions...

Chris, I can ask all the questions i want. This is forum where people are supposed to ask questions. Leave me alone and mind ur own buisness!

Yes, I know that. But Don't ask questions about snow when its 7-10 days out... I mean, just take it easy on the snow questions, ok? That's all I meant, and sorry if I bothered you.

Im sorry chris for freaking out on you. I am just so mad about this winter and every snowstorm that they say is gunna happen usually misses us or is rain so thats just why i am asking questions. Sorry

[W13]

Starting to look better for you guys back East.

[wxguy25]

Question for you wxguy25....how is the situation with the Atl Tripole Possibility going, if you have time thanks

More like BECOMING a reality. The warm pool is virtually gone in the C ATL, and split is developing nicely. JUST in time to save my rump WRT the NAO going negative and the overall JAN 15-FEB 1 projection from late last month.

[Stephanie]

Yes, the cold air will hold...... Now tak it easy with the questions...

Chris, I can ask all the questions i want. This is forum where people are supposed to ask questions. Leave me alone and mind ur own buisness!

Yes, I know that. But Don't ask questions about snow when its 7-10 days out... I mean, just take it easy on the snow questions, ok? That's all I meant, and sorry if I bothered you.

Im sorry chris for freaking out on you. I am just so mad about this winter and every snowstorm that they say is gunna happen usually misses us or is rain so thats just why i am asking questions. Sorry

I can totally relate to your feeling of frustration Jrodd since I live in New Jersey. Yes, you can ask all the questions that you want, but there are alot of people that have already answered your questions in other posts. You need to read them and try and learn from them. If the questions are the same all the time, people are just going to ignore them.