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TT-SEA

#441 Postby TT-SEA » Mon Jan 17, 2005 7:52 pm

Another sad update from Snoqualmie Summit...

http://www.summit-at-snoqualmie.com/
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W13
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#442 Postby W13 » Mon Jan 17, 2005 7:52 pm

Moderate rain is starting to come onshore and invade the Puget Sound area.
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snow_wizzard
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#443 Postby snow_wizzard » Mon Jan 17, 2005 7:55 pm

I thought you all might enjoy reading this. I figured it was time to check in with the expert who taught me a lot of what I know. This guy is sharp and is an atmospheric reasearch scientist with NOAA.....

Yes, it looks like at least some moderate flooding is likely.As in the NWS forecasts, it is apt to be concentrated in the Olympics and northern rather than southern Cascades.

We did get kind of ripped off in the last cold spell. The first main trough aloft dug too far offshore and the second one not far enough. Still, it was nice to have the chance; that the details did not work out is disgustingly typical for the Seattle region.

While it will be warm for the next week or so, winter is by no means over. While past history is not really much help, there is persistence in the atmosphere for a host of reasons and since the large-scale conditions came together well once before this winter, they are perhaps a bit more likely than usual to come together again. Maybe it is wishful thinking but we still have time left before we are really fighting the calendar.
Last edited by snow_wizzard on Mon Jan 17, 2005 7:57 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#444 Postby AnthonyC » Mon Jan 17, 2005 7:56 pm

It's unbelievably windy up here in Mukilteo. Just got back from the beach and we have sustained winds of 25-30 mph G45 mph. The power has already flickered a few times. The rain has let up...actually, Everett has only reported 0.3 inch of rain today...a little bit of a rain shadow with a WSW flow. Just 20 miles south, Mukilteo reported 0.8 inch of rain. I hope the power goes out!!

Anthony

Currently 53 F!!!
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andrewr
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#445 Postby andrewr » Mon Jan 17, 2005 7:59 pm

Unfortunately TT, that is probably the best news Snoqualmie will have for the next week or so because I'm betting it will say "Closed until further notice" within a few days.
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TT-SEA

#446 Postby TT-SEA » Mon Jan 17, 2005 8:02 pm

I agree... they will be closed indefinitely by Wednesday.
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andrewr
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#447 Postby andrewr » Mon Jan 17, 2005 8:02 pm

Anyone see the ice on KOMO 4's satellite truck? They had huge icicles hanging off of everything and it had only been up there for a few hours.
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Brian_from_bellingham
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#448 Postby Brian_from_bellingham » Mon Jan 17, 2005 8:12 pm

I have been on the other forum (yahoo), and RDub cannot get onto storm2k, he thinks maybe he got banned because he said something about east coast bias. Anyone know anyting? Any tips for him?
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#449 Postby snow_wizzard » Mon Jan 17, 2005 8:12 pm

Anthony...You may or may not be aware that a pineapple express with a rain shadow south of its normal location is more likely to lead to a cold spell than one with the shadow further north. It also means the flooding is more likely to be severe due to the moisture ramming up against the mountains, due to the more westerly flow. This is all coming together perfectly. I am betting on a good snow pattern for the mountains next week.
Last edited by snow_wizzard on Mon Jan 17, 2005 8:14 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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TT-SEA

#450 Postby TT-SEA » Mon Jan 17, 2005 8:13 pm

I seriously doubt that he got banned.

He should create a new user called R-Dub2 and see if he can get on.
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#451 Postby W13 » Mon Jan 17, 2005 8:24 pm

Brian_from_bellingham wrote:I have been on the other forum (yahoo), and RDub cannot get onto storm2k, he thinks maybe he got banned because he said something about east coast bias. Anyone know anyting? Any tips for him?


Ask him what error message he gets when trying to access the forums.
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Brian_from_bellingham
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#452 Postby Brian_from_bellingham » Mon Jan 17, 2005 8:28 pm

RDub said "It won't let me on, just says page not found!"

I dont know if he tried the Storm2k home page or if he had bookmarked the page with the forums. I posted a suggestion that he start over with a new name, like RDub2, that was TTSea's suggestion.
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andycottle
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#453 Postby andycottle » Mon Jan 17, 2005 8:50 pm

While some/few of you today apparently(:) ) had somewhat of a rain shadow effect.... we here in Woodinville did not have that! We had some REALLY good rains here, and also got soaked! 1.06" of rain since the wee early dark hours of this morning. Pretty much a WET and grey dury day in Woodinville with steady rain all day long. A mild 53 degrees here at 5:56pm. -- Andy
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#454 Postby andrewr » Mon Jan 17, 2005 9:15 pm

It seems Stampede Pass is mixing out it's cold air with a temp of 36F now. I imagine if Snoqualmie isn't there yet, it isn't far behind.

EDIT: Snoqualmie is still at 27F.
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#455 Postby snow_wizzard » Mon Jan 17, 2005 9:18 pm

They may have blocked out R-Dub by not allowing his IP address to log on. He should try to log onto the site from a different computer. From there he might be able to set up a different user name. He might still have problems logging on from his regular computer though. There must be some really sensitive people on here if they shut him down for teasing the back east folks. I thought they had thicker skin than that! I would recommend that he not fill in the ICQ address if he sets up another user name.
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#456 Postby AnthonyC » Mon Jan 17, 2005 9:29 pm

Still very windy up in Mukilteo. We lost power for about three minutes, but quickly regained it. I would say sustained winds of 20-30 mph G45 mph. Is it suppose to be windy tonight? I know warm fronts usually bring windy conditions because winds at 850 mb are usually over 50 knots. Very little rain in the past two/three hours.
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TT-SEA

#457 Postby TT-SEA » Mon Jan 17, 2005 9:46 pm

Wow... warm air has arrived in North Bend.

After being stuck in the low 40's all day it has shot up to 57 degrees here in the last two hours!!

Its tropical out there.

We have had 2.35 inches of rain SO FAR today.
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#458 Postby W13 » Mon Jan 17, 2005 10:00 pm

Currently 52 F, with 1.52" of rain so far today. Been pretty calm and dry the last four hours or so. :eek:
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#459 Postby andrewr » Mon Jan 17, 2005 10:02 pm

Now over 11" of rain so far in Amanda Park, that is crazy. About a tenth of that here with a temp. of 52.2F.
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TT-SEA

#460 Postby TT-SEA » Mon Jan 17, 2005 10:04 pm

What is Forks at??

I know they got lots of rain... but that could very well be a malfunctioning gauge.
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