FLOATER 1 NOW ON GOM CONVECTION.....

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

FLOATER 1 NOW ON GOM CONVECTION.....

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun May 01, 2005 6:46 pm

For whatever that's worth. The blob does appear to be moving farther west into the GOM, rather than toward the Florida Peninsula as forecast by the NHC:


Image
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148503
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#2 Postby cycloneye » Sun May 01, 2005 6:49 pm

dixie Floater #1 has been in that same position for the past 4 months or so since early January.

But the important thing is that this is not going to do anything tropical as there is shear of 30kts there and waters still are not warm enough.If you see this same convection by wednesday or thursday then you may want to take a second look.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Sun May 01, 2005 7:31 pm

Hey there, cyclone, no I don't expect much to happen, but I heard the wind shear is supposed to decrease -- so we'll see. It's very early, but stranger things have happened in the tropics :)
0 likes   

krysof

#4 Postby krysof » Sun May 01, 2005 7:55 pm

I guess the watching and waiting game has begun. We'll see what happens.
0 likes   

Scorpion

#5 Postby Scorpion » Sun May 01, 2005 8:11 pm

I dn I just have a feeling something will happen with this system. Would be very interesting to get an STS out of this.
0 likes   

Javlin
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1621
Age: 64
Joined: Fri Jul 09, 2004 7:58 pm
Location: ms gulf coast

#6 Postby Javlin » Sun May 01, 2005 8:30 pm

It appeared earlier today to be drifting S to me.Now if it did hang around and kept going S and S of Cuba SST's are in the 80's.These are if's though see what is happening Wed. if anything.
0 likes   

User avatar
MGC
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5937
Joined: Sun Mar 23, 2003 9:05 pm
Location: Pass Christian MS, or what is left.

#7 Postby MGC » Sun May 01, 2005 9:15 pm

The blob watch has officially commenced...MGC
0 likes   

User avatar
Ixolib
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2741
Age: 68
Joined: Sun Aug 08, 2004 8:55 pm
Location: Biloxi, MS

#8 Postby Ixolib » Sun May 01, 2005 9:18 pm

MGC wrote:The blob watch has officially commenced...MGC


Soon to be followed, I'd imagine, by the infamous "Bear Watch"... lol
0 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6400
Age: 61
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#9 Postby boca » Sun May 01, 2005 9:34 pm

The area is part of a mid latitude trough and will not develop, area is drifting SSE towards Cuba.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#10 Postby gatorcane » Sun May 01, 2005 9:55 pm

agreed, but it is fun to talk about anything right now, even though we all know nothing will come of this. :D
0 likes   

User avatar
Wpwxguy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 427
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 2:10 pm
Location: Southeast Louisiana
Contact:

#11 Postby Wpwxguy » Sun May 01, 2005 10:00 pm

Like Cycloneye said, if its still there in a couple days we might have something. It is moving into warmer water and possibly a less sheared environment. Stranger things have happened. Its really impressive as for as its blobiness.LOL> I've learned that no matter how much you know, its best to not say the word never.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#12 Postby gatorcane » Sun May 01, 2005 10:06 pm

The shear is very strong now. It may not be anything by the time the shear lets up.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#13 Postby gatorcane » Sun May 01, 2005 10:09 pm

The energy is already leaving the area. Like I said, there won't be much left by the time the shear lets up:

From NHC:

IN THE UPPER LEVELS...UPPER ENERGY IS LEAVING THE
AREA TO THE NE WITH MOSTLY ZONAL FLOW LEFT BEHIND...WHICH SHOULD CAUSE A STEADY WEAKENING OF THE TSTM CLUSTER IN THE SE GULF
0 likes   

kevin

#14 Postby kevin » Sun May 01, 2005 10:33 pm

Goodguy, I started this thing because its about time we comment on a blob. Whether it be something to develop or not. I learn a lot more from what doesn't develop to be honest than I do from what does. It was May 1st and we needed something to commemorate the occassion. :D :D
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23703
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#15 Postby gatorcane » Sun May 01, 2005 10:34 pm

Yes Kevin, don't listen to goodguy. He has accused me of -removed- but the entire board rejected his comments. I'd rather discuss something because frankly I'm bored with mid-lattitude systems right now. lol.
0 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6400
Age: 61
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#16 Postby boca » Mon May 02, 2005 8:43 am

Our Gulf blob is going away,darn maybe another will form.
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29133
Age: 74
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

#17 Postby vbhoutex » Mon May 02, 2005 8:47 am

Goodguy was a bad guy and he is gone.
0 likes   

User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#18 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon May 02, 2005 9:39 am

Yep. Gone with the wind. The Blob Season is upon us.
0 likes   

User avatar
LaBreeze
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1497
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 1:57 pm
Location: SW Louisiana

#19 Postby LaBreeze » Mon May 02, 2005 9:43 am

Blob, blob go away. Come again another day. The weather has been absolutely beautiful and on the cool side - not ready yet for a blob, but interesting nonetheless. :layout:
0 likes   

cyclonaut

#20 Postby cyclonaut » Mon May 02, 2005 11:14 am

& poof.

There will be many in the months ahead that wont go poof though.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 667 guests