DO WE HAVE LIFT-OFF?

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dixiebreeze
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DO WE HAVE LIFT-OFF?

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri May 13, 2005 7:52 am

Shear is evident, but this looks like more than a blob this morning in the Caribbean:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/WATL/IR4/20.jpg
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#2 Postby wxwonder12 » Fri May 13, 2005 7:53 am

If it is only a "blob" is sure is a nice one!!!
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#3 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri May 13, 2005 7:57 am

That's what I think. Wouldn't be too surprised to see an Invest issued today or tonight if this keeps up.
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#4 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri May 13, 2005 8:00 am

Looks impressive here, too:

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html
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#5 Postby James » Fri May 13, 2005 8:02 am

Very impressive! Certainly very interesting to watch.
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Very Nice cold tops

#6 Postby jabber » Fri May 13, 2005 8:06 am

But I think mr. shear is going to hammer it. Could bring a lot of rain.
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#7 Postby Scorpion » Fri May 13, 2005 8:35 am

Looking nice. Stupid shear :grr: .
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#8 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri May 13, 2005 8:45 am

I really hate shear. I hope not to hear about it again this hurricane season.

:grrr:
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#9 Postby feederband » Fri May 13, 2005 8:49 am

Yes nice Blob. Question where is blob going to be heading? 8-)
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#10 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri May 13, 2005 8:51 am

Blob is going to head northeastward over the next few days.
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#11 Postby feederband » Fri May 13, 2005 8:58 am

I hope something happens I picked May for first storm. 8-)
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#12 Postby vbhoutex » Fri May 13, 2005 9:03 am

Not enough time on visible to get a clear indication of any levels of circulation if they exist. Definitely a very healthy "BLOB". Shear is the killer here and is quite evident and if the system moves NNE as predicted by models the shear just gets worse so there is little chance of development imo. Some areas will definitely get lots of rain if it holds together, developing or not.
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#13 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri May 13, 2005 9:09 am

Seems like a sound analysis, VBH, thanks! :)
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#14 Postby Rainband » Fri May 13, 2005 9:14 am

I agree a real soaker :eek:
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#15 Postby vbhoutex » Fri May 13, 2005 11:06 am

It now looks like the western side of this system is collapsing. Still difficult to tell if there is a circulation. If there is it is at mid levels and this collapse will definitely interrupt it.
Last edited by vbhoutex on Fri May 13, 2005 11:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#16 Postby James » Fri May 13, 2005 11:08 am

Yes, it looks to be disintegrating a little bit now. Still interesting.
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#17 Postby gatorcane » Fri May 13, 2005 11:35 am

I see some spin that started this morning...good convection...still too much shear though. If it weren't for that we would have Arlene soon. :eek:
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#18 Postby cyclonaut » Fri May 13, 2005 12:23 pm

If there have been 7 threads started for this mid-May blob there is going to be utter chaos here when we have a mid September monster on our hands.
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#19 Postby cycloneye » Fri May 13, 2005 12:29 pm

cyclonaut wrote:If there have been 7 threads started for this mid-May blob there is going to be utter chaos here when we have a mid September monster on our hands.


That is what we are trying to control.The repetition of threads about a same theme.And also that is why we created new forum for the experts to post their anaylisis there because that will get lost down the pages when as you said things turn very active.
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#20 Postby dixiebreeze » Fri May 13, 2005 12:35 pm

cycloneye wrote:
cyclonaut wrote:If there have been 7 threads started for this mid-May blob there is going to be utter chaos here when we have a mid September monster on our hands.


That is what we are trying to control.The repetition of threads about a same theme.And also that is why we created new forum for the experts to post their anaylisis there because that will get lost down the pages when as you said things turn very active.


I don't really recall that happening much when the season is very busy. And, on the other hand, part of the reason for coming to S2K is to post and be enthusiastic about the tropics. If only a few can post, then not many will visit the forum, I'm afraid.
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