Hurricane activity worldwide on the decline-CSU

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JTD
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Hurricane activity worldwide on the decline-CSU

#1 Postby JTD » Tue May 31, 2005 10:37 am

And also says that global warming can't account for the increased Atlantic activity as if there was global warming, EPAC, Indian Ocean, etc. would have increased activity as well....


The increase in hurricanes over the last decade has prompted some scientists to cite global warming as the cause -- a theory the authors of the 2005 hurricane forecast do not buy.

"If global warming were the cause of the increase in United States hurricane landfalls in 2004 and the overall increase in Atlantic basin major hurricane activity of the past ten years (1995-2004), one would expect to see an increase in tropical cyclone activity in the other storm basins as well (i.e., West Pacific, East Pacific, Indian Ocean, etc.)," the report said. "This has not occurred.

"When tropical cyclones worldwide are summed, there has actually been a slight decrease since 1995."

http://www.cnn.com/2005/WEATHER/05/31/c ... index.html
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#2 Postby MGC » Tue May 31, 2005 12:19 pm

Somehow they will find a way to say that the net decrease in worldwide hurricane activity is global warming related too. These crackpots just won't give up.....MGC
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#3 Postby x-y-no » Tue May 31, 2005 12:32 pm

Another interesting and pretty well balanced article on the question of whether or not there is any connection between global warming and recent hurricane activity:

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/8046526/

MIAMI - If hurricanes again pound the United States this summer, their roar is likely to be accompanied by the din of another storm — an angry debate among U.S. scientists over the impact of global warming.

Last season’s $45 billion devastation, when 15 tropical storms spawned nine hurricanes in the Atlantic and Caribbean, prompted some climatologists to warn of a link to warming temperatures.

But hurricane experts say the unusual series of hurricanes, four of which slammed into Florida in a six-week period, was the result of a natural 15- to 40-year cycle in Atlantic cyclone activity.

<snip>



I'm pretty solidly with Dr. Landsea in concluding that the warming we have had to date has not had any significant effect on either hurricane intensity or frequency.

OTOH, there's strong indication that as warming becomes more pronounced over the next century that this should have significant impact on intensity (and with less confidence frequency) of storms.

Jan
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#4 Postby canegrl04 » Tue May 31, 2005 9:10 pm

Everything happens in cycles. In the 1950s and '60s hurricanes were on the increase. In the '70s and '80s, the Atlantic was fairly quiet.Then came the '90s .These people are morons to believe its global warming :roll:
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#5 Postby Javlin » Tue May 31, 2005 9:42 pm

it seems to me that at one point in the 70's scientist were predicting a new ice age to come HA.Now it 's a 180 on that.The time span that we have been keeping accurate data on weather is miniscule to the life of Earth.It's all a bunch of crap.
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