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cycloneye
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#21 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:30 pm

Or also they are having problems with the Cuban Goverment not allowing them to use their airspace.
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#22 Postby Brent » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:31 pm

cycloneye wrote:Or also they are having problems with the Cuban Goverment not allowing them to use their airspace.


Go around Cuba. It's not that big. They did it yesterday. :roll:
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#23 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:36 pm

they droppsed a dropsonde in the CGOM at 1859
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#24 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:42 pm

219
URNT11 KNHC 091938
97779 19324 50215 85600 04800 06024 22216 /0006
40520
RMK AF302 0301A ARLENE OB 03

Well finnally another observation.

at 21.5n-85.6w,1006 mbs Almost there.
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#25 Postby Wpwxguy » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:49 pm

Its about time, thanks Cycloneye.
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#26 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:53 pm

This report says 40 knots

3FFL8 S 1800 18.90 -81.20 159 94 200 40.0 - - - - - 29.77 +0.06 80.6 84.2 - 6.2
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#27 Postby x-y-no » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:59 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:This report says 40 knots

3FFL8 S 1800 18.90 -81.20 159 94 200 40.0 - - - - - 29.77 +0.06 80.6 84.2 - 6.2


Where did that come from, Matt?

Ship report?
Last edited by x-y-no on Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#28 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 09, 2005 2:59 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:This report says 40 knots

3FFL8 S 1800 18.90 -81.20 159 94 200 40.0 - - - - - 29.77 +0.06 80.6 84.2 - 6.2


That is not from recon.It is a ship report.
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#29 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:00 pm

I think it was a ship report.
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#30 Postby clfenwi » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:02 pm

Same ship that reported 40 knots this morning (and caused the upgrade to tropical storm): http://www.sailwx.info/shiptrack/shippo ... call=3FFL8

Memory refresh:

SHIP 3FFL8 REPORTED 40 KT WINDS WHILE LOCATED ABOUT 130 N MI
EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE. A QUALITY
CONTROL CHECK BY THE OCEAN PREDICITON CENTER SUGGESTED THIS REPORT
WAS ABOUT 5 KT TOO HIGH...BUT STILL OF TROPICAL-STORM FORCE. BASED
ON THIS A SPECIAL ADVISORY IS BEING ISSUED TO UPGRADE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ONE TO TROPICAL STORM ARLENE.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2005/di ... .004.shtml?
Last edited by clfenwi on Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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jax

#31 Postby jax » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:02 pm

that's 46 mph
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#32 Postby LSU2001 » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:03 pm

Well if thats the ship that reported this morning, its no wonder that scorpion was reporting rough conditions at 5:00am.
He is on that ship.
Tim
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#33 Postby baygirl_1 » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:06 pm

Someone may have already pointed this out, but that ship, Carnival Victory, is the ship from which Scorpion has been reporting to us.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=63963
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=63886
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#34 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:07 pm

5pm est will stay at 40 mph(My thinking). I think that will be the best with the over all look of the cyclone. In the fact that there is 3 different LLC moving around a parent low.
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#35 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:28 pm

422
URNT12 KNHC 092024
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 09/20:12:10Z
B. 20 deg 09 min N
084 deg 04 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. 25 kt
E. 310 deg 054 nm
F. 051 deg 032 kt
G. 313 deg 109 nm
H. EXTRAP 1001 mb
I. 22 C/ 464 m
J. 24 C/ 469 m
K. 22 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 1
O. 0.02 / nm
P. AF302 0301A ARLENE OB 04
MAX FL WIND 32 KT NW QUAD 19:36:50 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.
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#36 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:31 pm

32 knots flight level=25 knots sealevel. That is a depression.
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#37 Postby Brent » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:32 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:32 knots flight level=25 knots sealevel. Looks like Arlene was short lived.


Northwest quadrant...
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jax

#38 Postby jax » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:33 pm

that's in the north west quad...
what are they in the NE and SE quades
those 2 are typically your more productive.
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#39 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:34 pm

They haven't been in the NE quad yet.
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#40 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 09, 2005 3:37 pm

Yes the NE quadrant is normally the most strongest so let's wait for that.
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