Is TD 3 Splitting?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
mobilebay
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1853
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2004 1:22 am
Location: Mobile, Alabama

Is TD 3 Splitting?

#1 Postby mobilebay » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:59 am

Both the NAM and GFS shows TD3 splitting, the northern half moving toward the North Central Gulf Coast, and the other toward the upper Texas coast. The NHC did mention a circulation to the north. On satellite Imagery it appears the northern Circulation is pulling convection to it. Just thought I would mention what I see. thanks. :D
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 23080
Age: 68
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#2 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jul 04, 2005 6:25 am

If I didn't know better, I'd say that a good part of TD 3 will be inland into Florida this afternoon.
0 likes   

User avatar
Lowpressure
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2032
Age: 58
Joined: Sun Sep 14, 2003 9:17 am
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina

#3 Postby Lowpressure » Mon Jul 04, 2005 6:49 am

Just watched several sat presentations and is does appear to be splitting or relocating more to the NE. As the NHC states it is elongating N-S. Interesting to see where the center emerges and what recon finds later today.
0 likes   

User avatar
lilbump3000
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 966
Age: 38
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2003 10:09 am
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
Contact:

#4 Postby lilbump3000 » Mon Jul 04, 2005 6:51 am

It might be splitting but I think its not it just look a mess because its overland, but once back in the gulf, I think the system will start to wrap up nicely so by this afternoon or evening you might be looking at a whole different system.
0 likes   

dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#5 Postby dwg71 » Mon Jul 04, 2005 6:53 am

i think this will have a significant affect on model runs. I think South Cent LA to Tampa need to be watching closely.. the Center seems to ne of forcast track and seems to be moving NNW already.

comments
0 likes   

User avatar
lilbump3000
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 966
Age: 38
Joined: Sat Sep 20, 2003 10:09 am
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
Contact:

#6 Postby lilbump3000 » Mon Jul 04, 2005 6:56 am

I agree that it does look to be moving NNW right now but looking on water vapor you can clearly see that this system is not going to turn back towards flordia with that high pressure over there and yes the system is already to the right of the 4a.m. track.
0 likes   

Guest

#7 Postby Guest » Mon Jul 04, 2005 7:54 am

Most definitely agree that movement is to the NNW for now....

Image
0 likes   

Rainband

#8 Postby Rainband » Mon Jul 04, 2005 8:14 am

wxman57 wrote:If I didn't know better, I'd say that a good part of TD 3 will be inland into Florida this afternoon.
I know you didn't say Florida.. :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: I know The Sw shear is blowing the tops off the storm so it cant get organized and the high clouds are moving Ne :wink:
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 645 guests