Which forms first into a storm TD#3 or Invest 97L

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 3:52 pm

I go with invest 97.

Hurricaneman · #2 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 3:53 pm

97l because it seems to have a better structure right now

#3 Postby **Air Force Met** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 3:53 pm

cycloneye wrote:I go with invest 97.

Me 2

jimvb · #4 Postby **jimvb** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 3:57 pm

I say TD 3 because it is about to enter favorable water, and Invest 97L is not even a TD yet. But it could be close.

BonesXL · #5 Postby **BonesXL** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 4:01 pm

I think 97L...this is the one in the eastern carribean...it looks better organized...great outflow

skywarn · #6 Postby **skywarn** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 4:04 pm

It's going to be close but I think TD 3 will be named first. 97 L will become Dennis The Menace.

Hurricaneman · #7 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 4:05 pm

Its going to be close

#8 Postby **dhweather** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 4:37 pm

TD3 because we have recon in it and it's getting better organized.

#9 Postby **MGC** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 4:44 pm

I agree with dhweather. Gulf system will be Cindy, Caribbean system Dennis.....MGC

#10 Postby **wx247** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 4:48 pm

I think that Cindy will belong to TD 3, although it is going to be close.

#11 Postby **Lowpressure** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 4:50 pm

May be real close, what happens if it happens on the same advisory?

Website · #12 Postby **Brent** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 4:55 pm

Lowpressure wrote:May be real close, what happens if it happens on the same advisory?

TD 3 would be Cindy and TD 4 Dennis in that case since TD 3 formed first.

#13 Postby **Lowpressure** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 4:56 pm

Brent wrote:
Lowpressure wrote:May be real close, what happens if it happens on the same advisory?

TD 3 would be Cindy and TD 4 Dennis in that case since TD 3 formed first.

Thanks Brent for clarification on that.

#14 Postby **wx247** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:00 pm

It's kind of like... which came first... the chicken or the egg?? Or maybe not. :eek:

#15 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 6:30 pm

Wow a very close poll so far as it will be a close call.

Website · #16 Postby **Brent** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 6:37 pm

I say TD 3 only because it appears to be getting better organized and because it's already a depression, and because of recon and buoys. Without recon or a ship report I highly doubt the NHC goes straight to a TS with 97L. I say TD 4 late tonight or first thing tomorrow and then Dennis sometime tomorrow. Cindy will form probably in the morning at some point.

rolltide · #17 Postby **rolltide** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 6:39 pm

Right now I would have to go with TD-3. The convection around the center has really fired up over the last couple hours and if that continues I think we'll have a T.S. very soon.

Website · #18 Postby **Brent** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 6:53 pm

Edit: Looks like TD 3 may be Cindy at 11pm... so there's no contest now IMO. TD 4 probably at 11pm or 5am and then Dennis tomorrow sometime.

#19 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 6:54 pm

Brent wrote:Edit: Looks like TD 3 may be Cindy at 11pm... so there's no contest now IMO. TD 4 probably at 11pm or 5am and then Dennis tomorrow sometime.

Yes it seems like the balance is tilting towards TD#3.

gkrangers · #20 Postby **gkrangers** » Mon Jul 04, 2005 7:10 pm

NHC will have a tough time with TD3 at 11PM. Next Recon goes in late tonight doesn it? Maybe they wait on Recon and upgrade at 2AM if necessary.

I think 97L becomes TD4 at 11PM.

Which forms first into a storm TD#3 or Invest 97L

Which system will be a storm first TD#3 or Invest 97L?

Which forms first into a storm TD#3 or Invest 97L

Re: Which forms first into a storm TD#3 or Invest 97L

TD 3

My two cents

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