Vipir Model having LA & MS landfalls...

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Steve
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Vipir Model having LA & MS landfalls...

#1 Postby Steve » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:05 pm

Jeff Baskin at Fox 8 just ran the Vipir on the news. He said Vipir was one of the first to pick up on development (whatever that means) and that he thought there was a reasonable chance of a Plaquemines Pairsh hit with another hit up on the MS Coast. It was only the teaser, but I figured I'd report it anyways.

Steve
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#2 Postby Frank P » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:07 pm

Steve, does the vipir give intensity????
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#3 Postby uknowmeitsmattp » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:07 pm

He's probably right.
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#4 Postby LAwxrgal » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:07 pm

Last year Bob Breck showed the Vipir on Ivan and said it would turn north, then slightly east of north, and go in east of Mobile Bay...and it did.
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#5 Postby Steve » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:10 pm

No. He didn't give intensity, but "purples" showed up on the MS and AL coasts. He said of the track change that it wasn't good for N.O. and of the Viper Model "It's not far enough away that we'd escape the nasty weather" (paraquote). Anyway, Viper had it south of New Orleans curving into the MS Sound and making a second landfall maybe in Harrison Co.

Steve
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#6 Postby Frank P » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:14 pm

thanks, two days ago it was all about going to TX... I never gave it much chance to get as far as MS... still not sure about that either... central LA looks like its still a solid landfall point for the center of what ever it is, probably a moderate TS... but nobody really can say for sure.... its going to do what it wants and we'll all sit back and enjoy the ride...
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#7 Postby dhweather » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:14 pm

Steve wrote:No. He didn't give intensity, but "purples" showed up on the MS and AL coasts. He said of the track change that it wasn't good for N.O. and of the Viper Model "It's not far enough away that we'd escape the nasty weather" (paraquote). Anyway, Viper had it south of New Orleans curving into the MS Sound and making a second landfall maybe in Harrison Co.

Steve


That actually sounds reasonable for this system.
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#8 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:15 pm

Link to the VIPIR model??
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#9 Postby Steve » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:17 pm

>>its going to do what it wants and we'll all sit back and enjoy the ride...

Indeed. I've got a bit of a wine buzz at the moment while the old lady is asleep. It also means I've got the computer. FWIW, the VIPIR, when it showed the purples, had most of them clustered in a 3/4 circle from the N around to the SW side of the circulation as it got stronger for the MS landfall. In any event Frank, you'll probably see some tropical downpours. It's hot and muggy here with various cloud layers moving by. I'll try to get some reports in later.

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#10 Postby Steve » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:18 pm

>>Link to the VIPIR model??

Not that I know of. Put on Fox 8 if you want to see the run. I'm sure they'll show it again in one of the 2 weather segments in their hour long 5 o'clock news.

Steve
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#11 Postby dhweather » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:20 pm

I just turned Fox 8 New Orleans on, they said "Tropical update next" and went to commercial......

We'll see!
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#12 Postby Frank P » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:21 pm

Well I hope it doesn't get too strong cause I sure as hell don't want to put up plywood tomorrow... I'm off and I can think of a lot better things to do than that........ tropical downpours is OK.... but no wind...

later
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#13 Postby Guest » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:22 pm

Check this out folks....

http://www.millenniumweather.com/tropical/

click on forecast when you get to this page.
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#14 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:26 pm

what are we supposed to be looking at?
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#15 Postby dhweather » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:27 pm

Fox 8 - Jeff Baskin - just showed the model path, looks like Grand Isle
for landfall according to what he showed.

He stated that some of the models take it to MS.
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#16 Postby MGC » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:33 pm

Both New Orleans mets (4 & 8) hinted on a more eastward track.....MGC
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#17 Postby ericinmia » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:34 pm

Vipir is a storm tracking/radar program that stations can purchase. It computes its own tracking and development. It is very expensive though. :(

So its not a model per-say.
-Eric
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#18 Postby LSU2001 » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:36 pm

Remember last year please!!!!!!!!!

Models Left---- Models Right--- Landfall ends up in the middle.
Ivan, Charley,Frances, Jeanne, etc.
Tim
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#19 Postby Ixolib » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:36 pm

STAND BACK - Viper is armed!! :lol: :lol:

Sorry about that... My nephew's car used to scream that phrase at me everytime I came within a few feet of it.
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#20 Postby ericinmia » Mon Jul 04, 2005 5:37 pm

Ixolib wrote:STAND BACK - Viper is armed!! :lol: :lol:

Sorry about that... My nephew's car used to scream that phrase at me everytime I came within a few feet of it.


lol i remember seeing those alarms... :)
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