Jamaica, our only hope....

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MGC
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Jamaica, our only hope....

#1 Postby MGC » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:34 am

Jamaica is our only hope guys. Dennis need to make a direct hit on the island and have its inner core disrupted. If Dennis skirts around the Island than Dennis most likely will be a major hurricane in the GOM cause western Cuba won't do much to weaken Dennis......MGC
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Derek Ortt

#2 Postby Derek Ortt » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:35 am

Gilbert intensified while tracking across the entire length of the island. it then ebcame a cat 5 a few hours after moving into the NW Carib

Dont count on much disruption
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#3 Postby seahawkjd » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:36 am

Is Jamaca even big enough to really disrupt it even if it took a direct hit (not wishing that on Jamaca obviously)? Its a fairly large circulation and a tiny little island.
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#4 Postby Air Force Met » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:36 am

Derek Ortt wrote:Gilbert intensified while tracking across the entire length of the island. it then ebcame a cat 5 a few hours after moving into the NW Carib

Dont count on much disruption


I was just going to post that...it got sontrger while moving over the island. I remember watching it up at the met lab at A7M and we all thought it would knock it down some...the first recon after Jamaica shocked us.
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#5 Postby gkrangers » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:46 am

Besides..if it looks like a direct hit, it'll do the Ivan Island Shuffle.
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#6 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:49 am

Jamaca probably wont do much to Dennis
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#7 Postby MGC » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:51 am

Dennis is no Gilbert. Gilbert was a one in a lifetime storm.....MGC
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#8 Postby frederic79 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:55 am

Only my opinion... but looking at the latest visible loops, I have a hard time beleiving that Dennis will track north of Jamaica as forecast. It appears to be moving mostly to the west. To me, there are big implications in the future track and landfall along the northern gulf based on whether Dennis tracks south of Jamaica instead of north. Thoughts?
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#9 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 06, 2005 10:57 am

Its going for the Yucatan channel
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Re: Jamaica, our only hope....

#10 Postby jlauderdal » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:03 am

MGC wrote:Jamaica is our only hope guys. Dennis need to make a direct hit on the island and have its inner core disrupted. If Dennis skirts around the Island than Dennis most likely will be a major hurricane in the GOM cause western Cuba won't do much to weaken Dennis......MGC


dont count on..i think it was ivan that got close and then the center literally bounced off staying south in the open water
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#11 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Jul 06, 2005 11:13 am

Kind of like a pinball
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