Dennis will pass just south of Jamaica.

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#41 Postby dwg71 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:35 pm

Look at visable radar, Dennis has a much more NW component over the last couple of hours. NHC knows what they are doing.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Pebbles
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1994
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 1:42 pm
Location: New Lenox, IL (SW of Chicago)

#42 Postby Pebbles » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:41 pm

Strongly believe it is going to go north of Jamaica or right over it. The models are all in agreement on this. It is difficult to pinpoint the center of circulation and believe this can be deceiving. Recon should clear this up shortly. Just not one to buck the model consensus specially when they are in such a tight agreement over the next 24 hours.
0 likes   
Top
jax

#43 Postby jax » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:43 pm

Pebbles wrote:Strongly believe it is going to go north of Jamaica or right over it. The models are all in agreement on this. It is difficult to pinpoint the center of circulation and believe this can be deceiving. Recon should clear this up shortly. Just not one to buck the model consensus specially when they are in such a tight agreement over the next 24 hours.


here is the graph....
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_04.gif

we have all seen them be wrong before....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Pebbles
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1994
Joined: Tue Jul 08, 2003 1:42 pm
Location: New Lenox, IL (SW of Chicago)

#44 Postby Pebbles » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:48 pm

jax wrote:
Pebbles wrote:Strongly believe it is going to go north of Jamaica or right over it. The models are all in agreement on this. It is difficult to pinpoint the center of circulation and believe this can be deceiving. Recon should clear this up shortly. Just not one to buck the model consensus specially when they are in such a tight agreement over the next 24 hours.


here is the graph....
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_04.gif

we have all seen them be wrong before....


yes... but usually there is one or two out of the group that will be off the consensis. Every single one is tightly packed within 24 hours.. that's pretty dang tight clustering you have to admit. Maybe over the island. But don't think south will happen...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
feederband
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3423
Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
Location: Lakeland Fl

#45 Postby feederband » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:50 pm

dwg71 wrote:Look at visable radar, Dennis has a much more NW component over the last couple of hours. NHC knows what they are doing.


Agree...For right now...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
TexasStooge
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 38127
Joined: Tue Mar 25, 2003 1:22 pm
Location: Irving (Dallas County), TX
Contact:
Contact TexasStooge

#46 Postby TexasStooge » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:50 pm

Seems like we got the real "Dennis the Menace" after all!
0 likes   
Weather Enthusiast since 1991.
- Facebook
- Twitter
Top
User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

#47 Postby KatDaddy » Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:04 pm

Looks like Dennis is finally moving NW and may pass NE of Jamaica.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#48 Postby Normandy » Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:05 pm

If he stays NW then he will pass Jamaica and ill be wrong.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
feederband
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3423
Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
Location: Lakeland Fl

#49 Postby feederband » Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:08 pm

Normandy wrote:If he stays NW then he will pass Jamaica and ill be wrong.


I have yet to be right.... :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#50 Postby Normandy » Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:09 pm

Has NO ROOm for any westward movement tho, has to stay NW all the way to Jamaica.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: wwizard and 661 guests