Dennis will pass just south of Jamaica.

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dwg71
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#41 Postby dwg71 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:35 pm

Look at visable radar, Dennis has a much more NW component over the last couple of hours. NHC knows what they are doing.
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Pebbles
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#42 Postby Pebbles » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:41 pm

Strongly believe it is going to go north of Jamaica or right over it. The models are all in agreement on this. It is difficult to pinpoint the center of circulation and believe this can be deceiving. Recon should clear this up shortly. Just not one to buck the model consensus specially when they are in such a tight agreement over the next 24 hours.
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#43 Postby jax » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:43 pm

Pebbles wrote:Strongly believe it is going to go north of Jamaica or right over it. The models are all in agreement on this. It is difficult to pinpoint the center of circulation and believe this can be deceiving. Recon should clear this up shortly. Just not one to buck the model consensus specially when they are in such a tight agreement over the next 24 hours.


here is the graph....
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_04.gif

we have all seen them be wrong before....
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Pebbles
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#44 Postby Pebbles » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:48 pm

jax wrote:
Pebbles wrote:Strongly believe it is going to go north of Jamaica or right over it. The models are all in agreement on this. It is difficult to pinpoint the center of circulation and believe this can be deceiving. Recon should clear this up shortly. Just not one to buck the model consensus specially when they are in such a tight agreement over the next 24 hours.


here is the graph....
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_04.gif

we have all seen them be wrong before....


yes... but usually there is one or two out of the group that will be off the consensis. Every single one is tightly packed within 24 hours.. that's pretty dang tight clustering you have to admit. Maybe over the island. But don't think south will happen...
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feederband
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#45 Postby feederband » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:50 pm

dwg71 wrote:Look at visable radar, Dennis has a much more NW component over the last couple of hours. NHC knows what they are doing.


Agree...For right now...
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#46 Postby TexasStooge » Wed Jul 06, 2005 1:50 pm

Seems like we got the real "Dennis the Menace" after all!
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#47 Postby KatDaddy » Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:04 pm

Looks like Dennis is finally moving NW and may pass NE of Jamaica.
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#48 Postby Normandy » Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:05 pm

If he stays NW then he will pass Jamaica and ill be wrong.
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#49 Postby feederband » Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:08 pm

Normandy wrote:If he stays NW then he will pass Jamaica and ill be wrong.


I have yet to be right.... :lol:
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#50 Postby Normandy » Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:09 pm

Has NO ROOm for any westward movement tho, has to stay NW all the way to Jamaica.
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