NNW track has started.

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#101 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:09 pm

it hasn't moved this much N all day. I see a panhandle hit all the way here. :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#102 Postby Normandy » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:09 pm

Yea because they want the storm to hit florida.
0 likes   

jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#103 Postby jkt21787 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:10 pm

Normandy wrote:Yea because they want the storm to hit florida.

Yep, which is something I certainly don't understand.
0 likes   

User avatar
loon
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 655
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 4:50 pm
Location: Downtown Houston

#104 Postby loon » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:11 pm

hahaha, this year is going to be awesome, the comic relief of watching you guys go at it is on the verge of hysterics.....

cheers,
loon
0 likes   

Steve H.
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2146
Joined: Sat Oct 19, 2002 9:06 am
Location: Palm Bay, Florida

#105 Postby Steve H. » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:11 pm

Just when you see it moving almost due north it takes a bend to the NNW.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#106 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:11 pm

strong hurricanes want to gravitate towards the poles because the purpose of a hurricane is to transport latent heat from the tropics to the poles.
0 likes   

dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#107 Postby dwg71 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:12 pm

Ill stick with orginal prediction PCB, FL its definately heading at 340-350
0 likes   

User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#108 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:12 pm

its just a wobble...back NW now
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#109 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:13 pm

maybe be a wobble but more of the wobbles are going NNW the past several hours....
0 likes   

NateFLA
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 314
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:58 pm
Location: Tampa, FL
Contact:

#110 Postby NateFLA » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:14 pm

I think the problem people are having is they they are used to a recurve, IE once the storm trends NNW -> N -> NNE it doesnt go back. If you extrapolate the motion now, it will hit the panhandle. What people probably need to realize is that this storm has a higher probability to trend back westward... so untill a definite pattern emerges, wobbles to the north and west are just that.... but they will affect the eventual landfall site none-the-less.
0 likes   

User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#111 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:14 pm

not really dude....its been mostly west today...these last 2 hours maybe
0 likes   

PurdueWx80
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 2720
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2004 8:33 pm
Location: Madison, WI
Contact:

#112 Postby PurdueWx80 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:14 pm

Anybody want to argue the definition of recurvature? LOL

Just seein if anyone remembers this from last year?!?! :lol:
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#113 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:15 pm

what is causing this thing to want to wobble N????
0 likes   

jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#114 Postby jkt21787 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:15 pm

boca_chris wrote:what is causing this thing to want to wobble N????

The natural tendency for big hurricanes.
0 likes   

Sanibel
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10375
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 11:06 pm
Location: Offshore SW Florida

#115 Postby Sanibel » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:15 pm

If these are trochoid wobbles it's serious...
0 likes   

User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#116 Postby Normandy » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:16 pm

Id be willing to bet that Dennis takes a westerly or wnw jog before landfall, and another north jog....strong hurricanes dont move in straight lines.
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#117 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:16 pm

big hurricanes want to move towards the poles. That is what we are seeing here....
0 likes   

jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#118 Postby jkt21787 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:18 pm

boca_chris wrote:big hurricanes want to move towards the poles. That is what we are seeing here....

If you know then why did you ask?

Usually weaker storms are more influenced by the poles from what I understand. Maybe I'm backwards though.
0 likes   

User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#119 Postby deltadog03 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:18 pm

Good point Normandy...it will wobble W and WNW and N again...mobile or just west is what i am thinking...
0 likes   

mahicks
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 329
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 10:25 pm

#120 Postby mahicks » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:18 pm

Sanibel wrote:If these are trochoid wobbles it's serious...


please explain....

I've lingered around since last year and learned alot, but I have no idea what a trochoid wobble is.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cpv17, Google Adsense [Bot], HurricaneAndre2008, NotSparta, Stratton23 and 30 guests