H Emily Recon Reports=Next Mission this evening

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #61 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:42 pm

Thunder44 wrote:If they pressure didn't lower much , they might not raise winds. 156mph is closer to 155mph by the way.

156 mph is the offical number for a cat5.

Swimdude · #62 Postby **Swimdude** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:43 pm

senorpepr wrote:
wxwatcher91 wrote:actually 151kts at FL makes 156mph which is CAT 5

Well... that's only if NHC decides to round up. As it stands, it's still only 155 mph or cat 4. Also, that's is if NHC decides that is an accurate reading. The pressure is still awfully high. They may only go 150.

I agree, the pressure is... Surprisingly high. Unfortunately, the NHC likes to round their number DOWN. [Bummer.] Honestly, I wish they would, at least, not use increments of 5's [150, 155, 160 mph, etc] when it could make the difference between a storm being a T.S. or any of the 5 categories.

clfenwi · #63 Postby **clfenwi** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:43 pm

937 mb!

Normandy · #64 Postby **Normandy** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:44 pm

Regardless of what the NHC says or does, their is data to back up Emily being a Cat5. Its rewritten history folks.

jkt21787 · #65 Postby **jkt21787** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:44 pm

clfenwi wrote:937 mb!

They may go ahead and upgrade this.

Scorpion · #66 Postby **Scorpion** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:44 pm

Good, then they might consider upgrading.

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #67 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:44 pm

Scorpion wrote:Yes but technically a Cat 5 is anything 156 mph or greater.

Yes, but technically that rounds down to 155, which is cat 4.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #68 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:44 pm

clfenwi wrote:937 mb!

Cat5 even so thats still high.

Scorpion · #69 Postby **Scorpion** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:44 pm

Its a small system though.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #70 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:45 pm

senorpepr wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Yes but technically a Cat 5 is anything 156 mph or greater.

Yes, but technically that rounds down to 155, which is cat 4.

The text books say 156 mph is a cat5...I think they should. A very weak one at that.

clfenwi · #71 Postby **clfenwi** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:45 pm

000

URNT12 KNHC 161739
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 16/17:17:40Z
B. 16 deg 22 min N
077 deg 52 min W
C. 700 mb 2549 m
D. 25 kt
E. 317 deg 103 nm
F. 052 deg 141 kt
G. 335 deg 008 nm
H. 937 mb
I. 9 C/ 2986 m
J. 20 C/ 3047 m
K. 12 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C11
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF302 0705A EMILY OB 23
MAX FL WIND 151 KT NE QUAD 15:18:30 Z

Normandy · #72 Postby **Normandy** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:46 pm

Scorpion wrote:Its a small system though.

Well no so much anymore...its normal sized now imo.

tomboudreau · #73 Postby **tomboudreau** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:46 pm

cat 4 with 155 winds...per 2 PM statement

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #74 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:47 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
senorpepr wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Yes but technically a Cat 5 is anything 156 mph or greater.

Yes, but technically that rounds down to 155, which is cat 4.

The text books say 156 mph is a cat5...I think they should. A very weak one at that.

Actually, the text books don't say just 156 mph winds. Pressure and storm surge are also big factors... technically speaking.

Normandy · #75 Postby **Normandy** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:47 pm

Im ok with that for now, be a re-analysis should give Emily her Cat5 status.

wxwatcher91 · #76 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:49 pm

"Emily could
become a category five hurricane at times."

at times??? lol

clfenwi · #77 Postby **clfenwi** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:49 pm

Eyewall dropsonde
148 knots at 925 mb
137 knots at 850
113 knots at 700 mb

000

UZNT13 KNHC 161741

XXAA 66177 99165 70779 04467 99953 25801 ///// 00923 ///// /////

92265 22402 26648 85001 19403 32637 70663 10800 05113 88999 77999

31313 09608 81713

61616 AF302 0705A EMILY OB 24

62626 EYEWALL 315 SPL 1629N07787W 1720 LST WND 091 MBL WND 27146

AEV 20507 DLM WND 33598 944715 WL150 26152 165 =

XXBB 66178 99165 70779 04467 00953 25801 11947 23601 22932 22402

33850 19403 44789 17004 55781 17405 66778 17404 77718 14807 88709

14400 99698 10200

21212 00953 ///// 11944 25141 22931 26159 33926 26648 44919 27154

55913 27138 66908 27645 77904 28139 88897 29139 99892 29647 11882

30148 22877 30645 33873 30648 44868 30646 55863 30637 66859 30637

77857 32126 88856 32124 99850 32637 11834 33657 22784 00624 33781

01135 44769 01621 55698 05112

31313 09608 81713

61616 AF302 0705A EMILY OB 24

62626 EYEWALL 315 SPL 1629N07787W 1720 LST WND 091 MBL WND 27146

AEV 20507 DLM WND 33598 944715 WL150 26152 165 =

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #78 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:51 pm

senorpepr wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
senorpepr wrote:
Scorpion wrote:Yes but technically a Cat 5 is anything 156 mph or greater.

Yes, but technically that rounds down to 155, which is cat 4.

The text books say 156 mph is a cat5...I think they should. A very weak one at that.

Actually, the text books don't say just 156 mph winds. Pressure and storm surge are also big factors... technically speaking.

Then they need not say 156 mph is cat5...Lets make are system by 5s makes 160 cat5. Do you agree?

Swimdude · #79 Postby **Swimdude** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:52 pm

Scorpion wrote:Its a small system though.

What does this have to do with anything, much less intensity? Have you taken a good look at Andrew recently?

Scorpion · #80 Postby **Scorpion** » Sat Jul 16, 2005 12:53 pm

I meant that it was a small system so the pressure would be higher than normal..

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