5 PM TWO: Low Pressure has formed of SC coast (Recon Sunday)

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

5 PM TWO: Low Pressure has formed of SC coast (Recon Sunday)

#1 Postby drezee » Sat Aug 06, 2005 9:00 am

LLC has developed has developed around 31N 78W. Buoys are showing clear LLC...

Image
Last edited by drezee on Sat Aug 06, 2005 10:29 am, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Three Blind Mice
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 202
Joined: Thu Jul 29, 2004 9:28 am
Location: Wrightsville Beach, NC

#2 Postby Three Blind Mice » Sat Aug 06, 2005 9:10 am

Been watching this grow all morning. Getting ready to take our boat out in the ocean in a minute. Not sure how long if waves and wind are building.

Did anybody or model forecast this little event???
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#3 Postby drezee » Sat Aug 06, 2005 9:11 am

Buoys: http://coolwx.com/buoydata/data/t-01/at ... alysis.png

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

#4 Postby KatDaddy » Sat Aug 06, 2005 9:16 am

Believe it or not we have a LLC that has formed. The bouy wind directions show it nicely.

Wind directions range from E off the Carolinas, to W north of the Bahamas, to NNW of N CEntral FLA, to NE along GA Coast.

VIS satellite indicates the LL rotation with convection over the center.

SE Coast should watch this closely today. I expect the 10:30AM TWO to mention this area.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
cinlfla
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 687
Joined: Mon Aug 16, 2004 7:16 pm
Location: Titusville, Florida on the Spacecoast

#5 Postby cinlfla » Sat Aug 06, 2005 9:19 am

SE Coast should watch this closely today.



Why do you say the SE Coast ? Don't you mean the Gulf Coast?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KatDaddy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2815
Joined: Mon Oct 21, 2002 6:23 pm
Location: League City, Texas

#6 Postby KatDaddy » Sat Aug 06, 2005 9:20 am

The SC/NC/GA/Ne FLA Coast
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6400
Age: 61
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#7 Postby boca » Sat Aug 06, 2005 9:36 am

This system would probably move NNE into N Carolina because of the circulation around the low in the Gulf.
0 likes   
Top
Coredesat

#8 Postby Coredesat » Sat Aug 06, 2005 9:42 am

None of the global models seem to pick up on this LLC right now.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#9 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Aug 06, 2005 9:56 am

Yes. Dr. Lyons was just talking about it. He think this could be become a TD. More so then the system in the Gulf.
0 likes   
Top
kevin

#10 Postby kevin » Sat Aug 06, 2005 10:01 am

Wow! If this system were to become a tropical storm.... :eek:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#11 Postby drezee » Sat Aug 06, 2005 10:18 am

It may beat TD#9...radar is showing the curvature

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Wnghs2007
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6836
Age: 36
Joined: Wed Mar 24, 2004 11:14 pm
Location: Gwinnett-Barrow Line; Georgia
Contact:
Contact Wnghs2007

#12 Postby Wnghs2007 » Sat Aug 06, 2005 10:26 am

11:30 TWO Segment on system

Another weak area of low pressure is generating showers and
thunderstorms from the South Carolina coast southeastward for a
couple hundred miles. Upper-level winds are favorable for
development...but this system is expected to move northwestward and
inland before significant development can occur. An Air Force
Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft will be available to
investigate this system tomorrow morning...if necessary.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
jimvb
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 397
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 8:03 am
Location: Richmond, Virginia
Contact:
Contact jimvb

Gaston?

#13 Postby jimvb » Sat Aug 06, 2005 10:28 am

Is this to be another Gaston?

Don't be ready to call TD #9 Irene yet. This LLC could be Irene. A post said that 9 will get her name. It could be his name.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#14 Postby WindRunner » Sat Aug 06, 2005 10:30 am

With everything in the TWO, the wave behind TD9 could get Irene, this could get Jose, the Gulf could get Katrina, and TD9 would be left with Lee :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#15 Postby drezee » Sat Aug 06, 2005 10:31 am

Invest should be soon to follow...
0 likes   
Top
Jim Cantore

#16 Postby Jim Cantore » Sat Aug 06, 2005 10:33 am

I'm looking at this and it's looking like this just may become something

We'll see if it becomes an invest
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:
Contact wxwatcher91

#17 Postby wxwatcher91 » Sat Aug 06, 2005 10:35 am

I bet that this will get TD 10 but nothing else

TD 9 will get Irene, then TD 10 will form off the Carolina coast, then the one south of TD 9 will be TD 11... the one in the Gulf IF it forms will get TD 12... Im not naming anything yet tho lol

you have to remember these three waves dont even have invests yet...
at the best one will get an invest this evening and MAYBE be a TD tomorrow evening
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#18 Postby Scorpion » Sat Aug 06, 2005 10:43 am

All this development possibilities and we still are in a "lull". Just wait til mid-late Aug. All hell will break loose.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
EDR1222
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1253
Joined: Mon Nov 10, 2003 12:58 pm
Location: Melbourne, FL

#19 Postby EDR1222 » Sat Aug 06, 2005 11:03 am

Starting to look interesting, especially on Radar imagery.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9628
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Gulf of Gavin Newsom

#20 Postby Steve » Sat Aug 06, 2005 11:11 am

It's a 1016mb low. Then there's the 1014 in the Gulf where the surface low is interacting with an Upper Low nosing in creating probably the best banding we've seen there in a week.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... region=GOM

Steve
Last edited by Steve on Sat Aug 06, 2005 4:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: DESTRUCTION5, Team Ghost and 290 guests