Possible invest Caribbean

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superfly

Possible invest Caribbean

#1 Postby superfly » Mon Aug 08, 2005 5:46 pm

This has what looks like a LLC on radar with convection:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... tjua.shtml
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Swimdude
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#2 Postby Swimdude » Mon Aug 08, 2005 5:51 pm

Don't see the LLC... especially in those last 3 frames or so. Looks to me as if the storm are being blown in an Westerly direction and just happen to resemble an LLC by its being a circle of storms.
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gkrangers

Re: Possible invest 18N 66W?

#3 Postby gkrangers » Mon Aug 08, 2005 5:51 pm

superfly wrote:This has what looks like a LLC on radar with convection:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... tjua.shtml
Need more frames...didn't people see a circulation on satellite associated with this wave ?
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#4 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 08, 2005 5:52 pm

yup!!! i see a LLC...
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#5 Postby huricanwatcher » Mon Aug 08, 2005 5:57 pm

deltadog03 wrote:yup!!! i see a LLC...


your good... 8-)
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drezee
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#6 Postby drezee » Mon Aug 08, 2005 5:57 pm

looks like an eddie more than a LLC now
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superfly

#7 Postby superfly » Mon Aug 08, 2005 6:00 pm

drezee wrote:looks like an eddie more than a LLC now


Maybe but there is associated convection on IR satellite.
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#8 Postby WindRunner » Mon Aug 08, 2005 6:15 pm

And not much shear for the present.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.html

Good upper level divergence, not good convergence on surface. Still has aways to go.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#9 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 08, 2005 7:16 pm

On that radar I see a cirulation. I will check out the satellites.
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#10 Postby rockyman » Mon Aug 08, 2005 7:17 pm

TWD mentions this area:

AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 64W SOUTH OF 19N
MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SHIP
OBSERVATIONS ARE SHOW CYCLONIC TURNING. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NEAR PUERTO RICO FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN
65W-67W...AND IS OVER VENEZUELA FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 62W-64W.
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#11 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 08, 2005 7:20 pm

i wonder how long before we might see an invest??
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#12 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 08, 2005 7:21 pm

Its a small system. I'm wondering if that LLC go's to the surface?
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rockyman
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#13 Postby rockyman » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:04 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Its a small system. I'm wondering if that LLC go's to the surface?


According to the TWD, it does go down to the surface (surface and ship obs show cyclonic turning).
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#14 Postby boca » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:10 pm

It's so tiny I wonder the course it will take if their is a invest.
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#15 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:12 pm

it doesnt look like it has alot of convection on it.

<RICKY>
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#16 Postby hicksta » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:12 pm

anyone have a jpeg of this storm?
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#17 Postby rockyman » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:14 pm

hicksta wrote:anyone have a jpeg of this storm?


Image

Image
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#18 Postby frederic79 » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:26 pm

Definate LLC showing up on radar and earlier buoy to the east had a wind gust of 33 knots. Wonder if 10:30 TWO will mention it?
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#19 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:34 pm

yes i can see hints of a rotation there as well.

<RICKY>
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Jim Cantore

#20 Postby Jim Cantore » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:35 pm

I see it on radar looks like a possible LLC

Could this be Jose down the road I say it's got a good shot

maybe 4-7 days?
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