Possible invest Caribbean

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
superfly

Possible invest Caribbean

#1 Postby superfly » Mon Aug 08, 2005 5:46 pm

This has what looks like a LLC on radar with convection:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... tjua.shtml
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#2 Postby Swimdude » Mon Aug 08, 2005 5:51 pm

Don't see the LLC... especially in those last 3 frames or so. Looks to me as if the storm are being blown in an Westerly direction and just happen to resemble an LLC by its being a circle of storms.
0 likes   
Top
gkrangers

Re: Possible invest 18N 66W?

#3 Postby gkrangers » Mon Aug 08, 2005 5:51 pm

superfly wrote:This has what looks like a LLC on radar with convection:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... tjua.shtml
Need more frames...didn't people see a circulation on satellite associated with this wave ?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#4 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 08, 2005 5:52 pm

yup!!! i see a LLC...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
huricanwatcher
Category 3
Category 3
Posts: 893
Age: 65
Joined: Sat Sep 13, 2003 6:09 pm
Location: Kirkwood NY
Contact:
Contact huricanwatcher

#5 Postby huricanwatcher » Mon Aug 08, 2005 5:57 pm

deltadog03 wrote:yup!!! i see a LLC...


your good... 8-)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#6 Postby drezee » Mon Aug 08, 2005 5:57 pm

looks like an eddie more than a LLC now
0 likes   
Top
superfly

#7 Postby superfly » Mon Aug 08, 2005 6:00 pm

drezee wrote:looks like an eddie more than a LLC now


Maybe but there is associated convection on IR satellite.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#8 Postby WindRunner » Mon Aug 08, 2005 6:15 pm

And not much shear for the present.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.html

Good upper level divergence, not good convergence on surface. Still has aways to go.
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#9 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 08, 2005 7:16 pm

On that radar I see a cirulation. I will check out the satellites.
0 likes   
Top
rockyman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1967
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2003 12:24 pm
Location: Dauphin Island, AL

#10 Postby rockyman » Mon Aug 08, 2005 7:17 pm

TWD mentions this area:

AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 64W SOUTH OF 19N
MOVING WEST 10 TO 15 KT. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SHIP
OBSERVATIONS ARE SHOW CYCLONIC TURNING. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS NEAR PUERTO RICO FROM 16N-18N BETWEEN
65W-67W...AND IS OVER VENEZUELA FROM 7N-11N BETWEEN 62W-64W.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#11 Postby deltadog03 » Mon Aug 08, 2005 7:20 pm

i wonder how long before we might see an invest??
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#12 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 08, 2005 7:21 pm

Its a small system. I'm wondering if that LLC go's to the surface?
0 likes   
Top
rockyman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1967
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2003 12:24 pm
Location: Dauphin Island, AL

#13 Postby rockyman » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:04 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Its a small system. I'm wondering if that LLC go's to the surface?


According to the TWD, it does go down to the surface (surface and ship obs show cyclonic turning).
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6400
Age: 61
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#14 Postby boca » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:10 pm

It's so tiny I wonder the course it will take if their is a invest.
0 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#15 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:12 pm

it doesnt look like it has alot of convection on it.

<RICKY>
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
hicksta
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1108
Age: 35
Joined: Thu Jul 14, 2005 12:16 am
Location: Kemah Texas/ Baton Rogue LA

#16 Postby hicksta » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:12 pm

anyone have a jpeg of this storm?
0 likes   
Top
rockyman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1967
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2003 12:24 pm
Location: Dauphin Island, AL

#17 Postby rockyman » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:14 pm

hicksta wrote:anyone have a jpeg of this storm?


Image

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
frederic79
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 271
Joined: Sun Jul 18, 2004 8:48 pm
Location: Grand Bay, AL

#18 Postby frederic79 » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:26 pm

Definate LLC showing up on radar and earlier buoy to the east had a wind gust of 33 knots. Wonder if 10:30 TWO will mention it?
0 likes   
Top
WeatherEmperor
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4806
Age: 41
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:54 pm
Location: South Florida

#19 Postby WeatherEmperor » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:34 pm

yes i can see hints of a rotation there as well.

<RICKY>
0 likes   
Top
Jim Cantore

#20 Postby Jim Cantore » Mon Aug 08, 2005 8:35 pm

I see it on radar looks like a possible LLC

Could this be Jose down the road I say it's got a good shot

maybe 4-7 days?
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 63 guests